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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 473d |  MisTKy38 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $42,335 | +$1,528 +3.6% | 20 |
| 474d | MisTKy314 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $33,961 | −$858 −2.5% | — |
| 475d |  bosshog | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,870 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 475d | shard322 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,040 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 480d |  GayPride | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,631 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 481d | funguy1988 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 483d | funguy1988 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 |
| 483d | nonkenny90 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 484d |  Minecraft | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,431 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 486d | agent-716492 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,186 | −$55 −1.7% | — |
| 487d |  TheFund | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,482 | −$111 −1.7% | — |
| 488d | lowrisk23 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,940 | −$63 −1.6% | — |
| 488d | lowrisk249 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,011 | −$484 −3.7% | — |
| 492d | OPMSucks | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | −$34 −1.7% | — |
| 493d | GayPride3 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,866 | +$543 +5.5% | 20 |
| 498d |  Monka | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | −$23 −1.8% | — |
| 498d | Kevindoto | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | +$26 +1.5% | 20 |
| 498d |  George-Simian | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,748 | −$118 −1.5% | — |
| 499d |  Flipadelphia | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,324 | +$109 +2.0% | 20 |
| 500d |  Car7 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $11,272 | +$1,400 +12% | 20 |
| 502d |  WhiteLivesMatter | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,284 | +$100 +3.0% | 20 |
| 503d | lowrisk244 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,649 | +$502 +3.7% | 20 |
| 503d | lowrisk22 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,921 | +$305 +5.2% | 20 |
| 505d | George-Simian | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,591 | +$275 +3.6% | 20 |
| 509d | WhiteLivesMatter | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,148 | −$165 −5.2% | — |
| 509d |  FATMAN | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,114 | −$171 −4.2% | — |
| 512d |  praesagus3 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $11,685 | −$1,485 −13% | — |
| 512d |  ScoopinDooDoo | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$72 +3.3% | 20 |
| 515d |  TrumpDaddy88 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$60 −5.3% | — |
| 515d |  77603dad7edbb9a2775c529 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | −$63 −5.3% | — |
| 515d |  ondra1237 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $15,654 | −$1,274 −8.1% | — |
| 515d | 0xTrinity | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,375 | +$599 +5.3% | 20 |
| 516d | REKTGUY | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,228 | −$350 −6.7% | — |
| 516d |  sigh | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,838 | −$595 −8.7% | — |
| 517d |  Blunderton | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,774 | −$154 −8.7% | — |
| 518d | TheFund2 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,171 | +$535 +10% | 20 |
| 519d | simpleman | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$113 +7.5% | 20 |
| 519d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,464 | −$519 −8.0% | — |
| 520d |  tourists | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,650 | −$350 −7.5% | — |
| 521d | tourists2 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $22,870 | +$1,414 +6.2% | 20 |
| 521d |  studmuffin6969 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | −$96 −6.4% | — |
| 522d | praesagus8 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $28,929 | +$5,805 +20% | 20 |
| 522d | avpo | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $19,057 | +$1,216 +6.4% | 20 |
| 522d | caizer | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | −$99 −7.5% | — |
| 522d |  dududududu | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,066 | +$156 +7.5% | 20 |
| 523d |  Tenebrus7 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$240 +8.7% | 20 |
| 523d | adichat2 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $21,989 | +$2,934 +13% | 20 |
| 523d | agent-716492 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | +$292 +9.9% | 20 |
| 523d | mooseytunes0 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | −$197 −11% | — |
| 523d | studmuffin6969 | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | +$270 +9.9% | 20 |
| 524d |  lordvegeta | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | −$164 −11% | — |
| 524d |  coby | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,476 | −$1,476 −100% | 23 |
| 524d | restart2 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $2,436 | −$2,436 −100% | 26 |
| 525d | Sparkling-Command | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,270 | −$171 −7.5% | — |
| 525d |  HNIC3 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $19,410 | +$3,790 +20% | 20 |
| 525d |  BuckMySalls | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $13,275 | +$2,914 +22% | 20 |
| 525d | sigh | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $11,717 | +$2,748 +23% | 20 |
| 525d | jiggly2 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $3,283 | −$3,283 −100% | 25 |
| 525d | Idealogical2 fills | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellYes17¢ → 0¢ | $4,043 | +$4,043 +100% | — |
| 525d | jnawx | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,753 | −$2,753 −100% | 24 |
echoforma2,529 shares
TimeTraveler2,400 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if India commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Pakistan between April 23 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by India or Pakistan as of April 23, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by India, Pakistan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.