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Polymarket wallet 0xfbfdff5307fd34f6aa9e0a4329a2b7087e3b3d44 · on Polymarket since May 8, 2025 · also shown as Questionable-Astrakhan
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India invade Pakistan before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +22% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$2 +104% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$1 +28% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +27% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| China x India military clash by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 504d | Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June? | BuyYes10¢ | $9 |
| 520d | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BuyYes25¢ | $1 |
| 520d | China x India military clash by December 31? | BuyYes14¢ | $1 |
| 525d | India-Pakistan declare war before June? | BuyNo84¢ | $1 |
| 525d | India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June? | BuyYes21¢ | $2 |
| 526d | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BuyNo49¢ | $2 |
| 526d | Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | BuyYes30¢ | $2 |
| 526d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? | BuyNo73¢ | $3 |
| 526d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo78¢ | $3 |
| 526d | Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $3 |
| 526d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 526d | Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 526d | Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | BuyNo79¢ | $2 |
| 526d | Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May? | BuyNo38¢ | $7 |
| 526d | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo82¢ | $10 |
| 527d | Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May? | BuyNo33¢ | $1 |
| 527d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.