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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 473d | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,593 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 473d | remember | June 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,017 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 474d | poligott | June 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,730 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 474d | ExDeus | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,490 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 |
| 474d | LBZone | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,956 | +$12 +0.3% | 4 |
| 474d | devilmissingdigit | June 30 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,556 | +$13 +0.5% | 4 |
| 475d | 0x627A0123bE2 fills | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,404 | +$77 +1.0% | 4 |
| 476d | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,281 | +$28 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 477d | 0x253d…33073 fills | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,178 | +$107 +2.6% | 4 |
| 478d | Lisbon | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 479d | funguy1988 | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,123 | −$32 −1.0% | — |
| 479d | markorcapital | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,031 | −$38 −1.0% | — |
| 479d | HuskyRRRRR2 fills | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,955 | −$41 −0.8% | — |
| 480d | June 30 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,724 | −$33 −0.9% | — | |
| 481d | pako | June 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,385 | −$41 −1.7% | — |
| 481d | funguy19882 fills | June 30 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,233 | +$78 +1.3% | 4 |
| 481d | markorcapital | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$69 +1.7% | 4 |
| 481d | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$26 +1.9% | 4 | |
| 481d | NeH3 fills | June 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,398 | +$232 +3.6% | 4 |
| 482d | NeH | June 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,684 | −$261 −2.4% | — |
| 482d | exposito4 fills | June 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $24,274 | +$979 +4.0% | 4 |
| 482d | bett0r1 | June 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,637 | −$135 −2.9% | — |
| 484d | June 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | −$31 −2.0% | — | |
| 484d | Dave96 | June 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | −$33 −2.0% | — |
| 484d | 854A7843 | June 30 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,588 | −$45 −1.7% | — |
| 485d | pako | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,440 | +$42 +1.7% | 4 |
| 485d | June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,846 | +$299 +3.0% | 4 | |
| 485d | PedroGonzales | June 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | −$52 −3.6% | — |
| 486d | 854A7843 | June 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$72 +3.6% | 4 |
| 486d | Dave96 | June 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$57 +4.9% | 4 |
| 486d | HuskyRRRRR | June 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$60 +4.9% | 4 |
| 487d | avocado42947 | June 30 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | −$64 −4.6% | — |
| 489d | bett0r14 fills | June 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $17,163 | +$863 +5.0% | 4 |
| 490d | drrdre | June 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$98 +4.9% | 4 |
| 490d | CrashOverride95 | June 30 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,699 | +$86 +5.0% | 4 |
| 491d | June 30 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | −$58 −3.9% | — | |
| 491d | PedroGonzales | June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$44 +3.3% | 4 |
| 497d | poligott | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,379 | +$142 +2.2% | 4 |
| 516d | JOHNOO | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$112 +2.2% | 4 |
| 527d | romilly | June 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | +$57 +3.5% | 4 |
| 527d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | June 30 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,029 | −$91 −4.5% | — |
| 543d | June 30 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,018 | −$165 −5.5% | — | |
| 565d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | March 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,270 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 567d | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,990 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 567d | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,215 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 567d | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,262 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 568d | Nowhere-Man | June 30 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$73 +6.2% | 4 |
| 569d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,894 | +$11 +0.6% | 4 |
| 570d | Idontwantausername | March 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,949 | −$51 −1.3% | — |
| 571d | Dave96 | March 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,023 | −$24 −1.2% | — |
| 573d | Idontwantausername | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 4 |
| 573d | March 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | −$18 −1.3% | — | |
| 574d | wubddh2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,786 | +$79 +1.7% | 4 |
| 576d | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,457 | +$113 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 577d | fkuUMA | March 31 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$20 +1.7% | 4 |
| 578d | March 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $12,514 | +$609 +4.9% | 4 | |
| 587d | CrashOverride95 | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,564 | +$80 +1.2% | 4 |
| 599d | Dave96 | March 31 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$34 +2.8% | 4 |
| 612d | March 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,033 | −$129 −2.6% | — | |
| 613d | Jr.Druckenmiller | March 31 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,230 | −$61 −2.7% | — |
This is a market on the likelihood of a nuclear weapon detonation by a specified country or entity.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 0%.