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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 100% | +6 pts | +8 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 187d |
| Jordan Bardella | 0% | −5 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 187d |
| Multiple Candidates | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 187d |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 187d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93d | Arman2 | Marine Le Pen | SellYes>99¢ | $3,410 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 93d | 2475252 fills | Jordan Bardella | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,983 | +$29 +0.2% | 10 |
| 93d |  Raskell3 fills | Jordan Bardella | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,068 | +$80 +0.9% | 10 |
| 93d | Trustinghorse | Multiple Candidates | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,762 | +$27 +0.1% | 10 |
| 93d | Trustinghorse | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,623 | +$18 +0.7% | 10 |
| 93d | Arman2 | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,383 | +$69 +2.0% | 10 |
| 93d | Raskell | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,010 | +$137 +3.4% | 10 |
| 99d |  Hot-Skull | Marine Le Pen | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$76 −7.5% | — |
| 101d |  DontTrustMe | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,896 | +$104 +5.5% | 10 |
| 101d | Efragkos | Marine Le Pen | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,612 | −$562 −12% | — |
| 101d | Paul9739733 fills | Jordan Bardella | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$212 +3.5% | 10 |
| 101d | 8.7 | Marine Le Pen | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,567 | −$302 −12% | — |
| 101d | StudentMoney5 fills | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $14,214 | +$1,391 +9.8% | 10 |
| 101d | StudentMoney | Jordan Bardella | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,703 | +$412 +15% | 10 |
| 101d |  nicoco89 | Jordan Bardella | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,937 | +$1,937 +100% | — |
| 101d | Efragkos | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$1,144 +105% | 10 |
| 102d | 8.7 | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,409 | +$1,459 +104% | 10 |
| 102d | gabriellelanger | Jordan Bardella | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 10 |
| 102d | Bigggggggg | Multiple Candidates | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | +$10 +0.6% | 10 |
| 102d | Bigggggggg | Marine Le Pen | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,274 | −$1,274 −100% | 10 |
| 102d | nicoco89 | Jordan Bardella | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $4,009 | −$4,009 −100% | 10 |
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election. If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Marine Le Pen means the market gives it about 100%.