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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Cota Cárdenas | 41% | −8 pts | −15 pts | 8¢ · 75¢ (67¢) | — | in 232d |
| Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias | 23% | +4 pts | +3 pts | 3¢ · 43¢ (40¢) | — | in 232d |
| Milena Quiroga Romero | 23% | −2 pts | +18 pts | 4¢ · 42¢ (38¢) | — | in 232d |
| Christian Agúndez Gómez | 7% | −2 pts | −3 pts | 4¢ · 9¢ (5¢) | — | in 232d |
| José Rigoberto Mares Aguilar | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 232d |
| Jesús Alberto Alvarado Aragón | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 232d |
| Ricardo Barroso Agramont | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 232d |
| Edith Aguilar Villavicencio | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 232d |
| Susana Zataraín García | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 232d |
| Antonio Manríquez | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 232d |
| Fabricio del Castillo | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 232d |
| Guadalupe Saldaña Cisneros | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 232d |
| José Saúl González Núñez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 232d |
| Diana Von Borstel Luna | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 232d |
| Juan Alberto Valdivia Alvarado | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 232d |
| Roxana Higuera | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 232d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59d |  FrozenParasite | Christian Agúndez Gómez | BuyNo79¢ → 94¢ | $1,010 | +$192 +19% | 10 |
Lavincey30 sharesFrozenParasite20 shares
LornaPredicts167 sharesGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California Sur on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California Sur gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California Sur and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California Sur and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 41¢ for Manuel Cota Cárdenas means the market gives it about 41%.