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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 70% | +3 pts | +25 pts | 69¢ · 70¢ (1¢) | $1.01K | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | cookedrice | Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher? | BuyRodri63¢ → 70¢ | $2,123 | +$214 +10% | 24 |
Cypya1,119 shares
rushiya500 shares
DerDon4,700 shares
Haradwaith1,092 shares
TimeTraveler367 sharesThis market will resolve to "Rodri" if Rodri finishes higher than Lionel Messi in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Messi" if Lionel Messi finishes higher than Rodri. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 70¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 70%.