| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,500 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $938 | −$38 −3.8% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Yamal | 2,000 | 46¢ → 46¢ | $920 | −$4 −0.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,000 | 36¢ → 34¢ | $688 | −$32 −4.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 1,168 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $683 | +$18 +2.6% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 7,156 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $608 | −$194 −24% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | No | 1,200 | 43¢ → 50¢ | $594 | +$78 +15% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,200 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $558 | +$18 +3.3% |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Ends in 256d | Yes | 2,000 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $530 | −$10 −1.9% |
| Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 700 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $522 | +$4 +0.7% |
| Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 594 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $490 | −$0 −0.0% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 9d | No change | 500 | 72¢ → 93¢ | $465 | +$105 +29% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 2,265 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $464 | −$47 −9.2% |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $405 | +$9 +2.3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 477 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $389 | −$17 −4.1% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 827 | 52¢ → 44¢ | $364 | −$66 −15% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,814 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $324 | +$14 +4.5% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 898 | 36¢ → 33¢ | $292 | −$34 −11% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Messi | 1,000 | 38¢ → 28¢ | $285 | −$95 −25% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 700 | 42¢ → 36¢ | $249 | −$46 −15% |
| Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 274 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $245 | +$37 +18% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 288 | 70¢ → 80¢ | $229 | +$27 +14% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 657 | 39¢ → 33¢ | $217 | −$39 −15% |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Ends in 20d | Yes | 676 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $209 | +$14 +6.9% |
| Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | Yes | 340 | 37¢ → 59¢ | $199 | +$73 +58% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?Ends ended | No | 200 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$33 +21% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 805 | 20¢ → 23¢ | $189 | +$26 +16% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | No | 300 | 68¢ → 51¢ | $151 | −$52 −26% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 26¢ → 27¢ | $132 | +$2 +1.9% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 800 | 30¢ → 17¢ | $132 | −$108 −45% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 190 | 47¢ → 52¢ | $100 | +$9 +10% |
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?Ends in 13d | No | 90 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $85 | +$11 +15% |
| Next Gemini Argon released by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 327 | 51¢ → 26¢ | $83 | −$83 −50% |
| Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 56¢ → 64¢ | $76 | +$9 +13% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 92 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $70 | +$6 +9.3% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 140 | 24¢ → 43¢ | $60 | +$26 +78% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 356 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $52 | +$16 +45% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 69 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $44 | +$1 +3.2% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 144 | 35¢ → 31¢ | $44 | −$6 −13% |
| Next Gemini Argon released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 70¢ → 83¢ | $41 | +$6 +18% |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 6d | No | 166 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $38 | −$10 −21% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 64 | 48¢ → 52¢ | $34 | +$3 +8.3% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 6h | No | 31 | 61¢ → >99¢ | $31 | +$12 +63% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $16 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 17 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $4 | −$1 −13% |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | No | 71 | 12¢ → 5¢ | $4 | −$5 −57% |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?Ends ended | Yes | 2 | 53¢ → 64¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 113 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$268 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during remarks in Georgia?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 251 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 191 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,400 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 49 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 104 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Innovation" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$248 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$336 −100% |
| Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 320 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$195 −100% |
| Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 461 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Job" 13+ times during his Midterm Rally in Montana?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 102 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 256 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during remarks in Georgia?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 306 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$201 −100% |
| Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 721 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$347 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 357 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$182 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Steel" during Michigan remarks?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 499 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$370 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 692 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$394 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,208 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$221 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 529 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$323 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Ronaldo" or "Messi" or "Pele" during June 24 Rally?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Kenan Yıldız score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 668 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$240 −100% |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | United States | 750 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$379 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$350 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$272 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,500 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$285 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Department of War" during remarks at the Pentagon?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 280 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$215 −100% |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$440 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,400 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$717 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Through The Roof" during remarks in New York?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 96 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$127 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,500 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$240 −100% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,084 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$364 −100% |
| Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 778 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$187 −100% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$342 −100% |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
