| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 12,339 | 63¢ → 74¢ | $9,069 | +$1,285 +17% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 9,844 | 72¢ → 82¢ | $8,023 | +$982 +14% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 6,800 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $6,579 | +$36 +0.6% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?Ends in 440d | No | 6,619 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $5,461 | +$240 +4.6% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | No | 15,906 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $4,533 | −$507 −10% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 7,819 | 48¢ → 47¢ | $3,636 | −$154 −4.1% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,000 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $2,900 | +$91 +3.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,281 | 50¢ → 34¢ | $2,483 | −$1,183 −32% |
| Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Ends ended | No | 2,442 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $2,408 | +$68 +2.9% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 2,451 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $2,359 | −$15 −0.6% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,907 | 31¢ → 75¢ | $2,166 | +$1,256 +138% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | No | 3,345 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $2,141 | +$15 +0.7% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 5,823 | 45¢ → 36¢ | $2,096 | −$535 −20% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 2,428 | 45¢ → 84¢ | $2,039 | +$936 +85% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?Ends in 78d | No | 2,120 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $1,993 | +$24 +1.2% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,998 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $1,908 | +$293 +18% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 2,445 | 59¢ → 76¢ | $1,846 | +$400 +28% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,183 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $1,648 | +$18 +1.1% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Yamal | 3,738 | 46¢ → 44¢ | $1,645 | −$80 −4.6% |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,659 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,590 | +$19 +1.2% |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 2,200 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $1,463 | +$2 +0.1% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,650 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $1,452 | +$56 +4.0% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Messi | 4,700 | 42¢ → 31¢ | $1,433 | −$529 −27% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,499 | 32¢ → 86¢ | $1,282 | +$808 +171% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 1,500 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $1,245 | −$25 −2.0% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,300 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $1,229 | +$42 +3.6% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 1,896 | 43¢ → 63¢ | $1,185 | +$364 +44% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 5,380 | 26¢ → 22¢ | $1,184 | −$205 −15% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,238 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $1,182 | +$187 +19% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,195 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $1,134 | +$42 +3.9% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 1,425 | 74¢ → 78¢ | $1,105 | +$58 +5.5% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,121 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,071 | +$17 +1.6% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 1,653 | 34¢ → 65¢ | $1,066 | +$497 +87% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,383 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $1,058 | −$49 −4.4% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 1,079 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,040 | +$44 +4.5% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,100 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $1,040 | +$28 +2.7% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?Ends in 9h | No | 1,040 | 82¢ → >99¢ | $1,039 | +$187 +22% |
| Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,423 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $1,032 | +$10 +1.0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 1,081 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $1,016 | +$104 +11% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 1,000 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $981 | +$136 +16% |
| Will João Neves finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,002 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $977 | +$20 +2.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,002 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $964 | +$123 +15% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,202 | 57¢ → 78¢ | $931 | +$245 +36% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Ends in 44d | No | 1,160 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $922 | +$117 +14% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 1,010 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $879 | +$49 +6.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 1,500 | 71¢ → 57¢ | $862 | −$197 −19% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?Ends in 9h | No | 832 | 74¢ → >99¢ | $831 | +$218 +36% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 898 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $827 | +$11 +1.3% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 818 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $778 | +$33 +4.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,207 | 22¢ → 34¢ | $739 | +$264 +55% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 4,351 | 8¢ → 17¢ | $729 | +$362 +99% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $727 | +$10 +1.3% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 712 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $699 | +$24 +3.5% |
| Will AfD be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | No | 623 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $607 | +$11 +1.8% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?Ends in 9h | No | 600 | 74¢ → >99¢ | $600 | +$153 +34% |
| Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,050 | 49¢ → 57¢ | $599 | +$83 +16% |
| Will FDP be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Ends ended | No | 600 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $591 | +$24 +4.3% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 696 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $573 | +$12 +2.1% |
| GTA VI released by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 500 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $498 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $483 | +$13 +2.8% |
| Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $483 | −$9 −1.8% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,724 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $474 | −$61 −11% |
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 1,395 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $467 | +$20 +4.5% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $423,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 471 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $449 | +$53 +13% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 500 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $433 | +$83 +24% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 5,119 | 2¢ → 8¢ | $415 | +$322 +347% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 491 | 42¢ → 84¢ | $410 | +$204 +99% |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Ends in 20d | Yes | 500 | 90¢ → 82¢ | $408 | −$43 −9.4% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 402 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $385 | +$16 +4.3% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 500 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $378 | +$29 +8.4% |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 555 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $374 | +$6 +1.6% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 80¢ → 75¢ | $373 | −$28 −6.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 519 | 70¢ → 68¢ | $353 | −$10 −2.7% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 356 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $347 | +$73 +27% |
| Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 413 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $341 | +$11 +3.5% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 22¢ → 67¢ | $333 | +$223 +202% |
| Will Jack Doherty post again on X by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 600 | 60¢ → 54¢ | $324 | −$39 −11% |
| Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 320 | 82¢ → >99¢ | $319 | +$55 +21% |
| Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $293 | +$51 +21% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$17 +6.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 513 | 32¢ → 53¢ | $269 | +$105 +64% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 300 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $260 | +$3 +1.0% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 259 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $251 | +$3 +1.3% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | No | 1,600 | 34¢ → 16¢ | $248 | −$296 −54% |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 278 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $244 | −$3 −1.1% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 251 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $234 | +$32 +16% |
| Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 309 | 69¢ → 76¢ | $234 | +$21 +9.7% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?Ends in 44d | No | 300 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $230 | +$8 +3.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 222 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $221 | +$18 +9.1% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Kvaratskhelia | 345 | 54¢ → 64¢ | $219 | +$33 +18% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 220 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $213 | +$16 +8.0% |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 947 | 19¢ → 23¢ | $213 | +$36 +20% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?Ends in 440d | No | 238 | 58¢ → 87¢ | $206 | +$68 +49% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 50¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$93 +93% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 220 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $187 | −$2 −1.2% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?Ends in 44d | No | 231 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $186 | +$4 +2.1% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,000 | 3¢ → 19¢ | $186 | +$154 +480% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 187 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $175 | +$22 +14% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 195 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $175 | +$19 +12% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 183 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $172 | +$8 +4.6% |
