Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paz by 5–10% | 100% | 0 pts | +85 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Paz by 20%+ | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paz by 15–20% | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paz by 10–15% | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paz by 0–5% | 0% | — | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tuto by 0–5% | 0% | — | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tuto by 5–10% | 0% | — | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tuto by 10–15% | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tuto by 15–20% | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tuto by 20%+ | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356d | pantomime | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,185 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 356d |  Tenebrus7 | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 356d |  CoffeeLover4 fills | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,516 | +$34 +0.2% | 10 |
| 356d |  NeoSay10 | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,042 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 356d |  HolyMoses73 fills | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $48,839 | +$49 +0.1% | 10 |
| 356d |  cruzzzz | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,037 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 356d |  Allinnothing | Paz by 10–15% | SellNo>99¢ | $5,255 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 356d |  CoffeeDespiser | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,692 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 356d | 0x97cc…bbbf | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 356d | cruzzzz | Paz by 10–15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,942 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 356d | Allinnothing | Paz by 10–15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,925 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 356d | Allinnothing2 fills | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,222 | +$22 +0.2% | 10 |
| 357d | StudentMoney | Paz by 15–20% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | Pavelevel | Paz by 20%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $4,397 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | Pavelevel | Paz by 15–20% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,200 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 357d |  Occult | Tuto by 20%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $4,496 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | Occult | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 357d |  gopfan2 | Tuto by 20%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $5,328 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 358d | Broken-Athlete | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 358d |  FrulliFrulla | Paz by 10–15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,765 | +$15 +0.1% | 10 |
| 358d |  ezyoracle | Paz by 10–15% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,230 | −$13 −0.6% | — |
| 358d | VvVv | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes>99¢ | $1,894 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 359d | StudentMoney | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $2,059 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 359d |  kiki.aoe | Paz by 10–15% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,144 | −$16 −0.5% | — |
| 359d |  nnimrodd2 fills | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,299 | −$473 −14% | — |
| 359d | Ac91 | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,813 | −$64 −0.8% | — |
| 359d | StudentMoney | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 359d | Farmer-5 fills | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,472 | −$126 −1.2% | — |
| 359d | Broken-Athlete | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,079 | +$4 +0.4% | 10 |
| 359d | Farmer-2 fills | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $7,552 | +$668 +8.8% | 10 |
| 359d | ddsw | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | −$29 −2.0% | — |
| 359d |  fancybear311 | Paz by 20%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,064 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 359d | 0x97cc…bbbf | Paz by 10–15% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 360d | Leopadron | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | −$15 −1.3% | — |
| 360d | CoffeeLover | Paz by 10–15% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | +$8 +0.6% | 10 |
| 360d | mep6 fills | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $16,729 | +$2,019 +12% | 10 |
| 360d | quanterty | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,000 | +$45 +0.2% | 10 |
| 360d | mirand2 fills | Paz by 10–15% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,071 | +$34 +0.8% | 10 |
| 360d | mirand2 fills | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,683 | +$64 +1.4% | 10 |
| 360d | RiskyWager | Paz by 10–15% | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | −$58 −5.4% | — |
| 360d | wokerjoesleeper | Paz by 10–15% | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | −$83 −5.1% | — |
| 360d | wokerjoesleeper | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,641 | −$86 −5.2% | — |
| 360d |  LEONIDOVITCH19833 fills | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $7,981 | +$3,905 +49% | 10 |
| 360d | affs20791 | Paz by 10–15% | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,023 | −$108 −5.3% | — |
| 360d | affs20791 | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,027 | −$369 −7.3% | — |
| 360d | unknown00772 fills | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $5,649 | −$1,611 −29% | — |
| 360d | Abadtaste | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,396 | −$269 −7.9% | — |
| 360d | LEONIDOVITCH19832 fills | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $10,148 | −$986 −9.7% | — |
| 360d | milouu57 | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,339 | −$59 −4.4% | — |
| 360d | affs207912 fills | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,184 | +$211 +6.6% | 10 |
| 360d | affs20791 | Paz by 10–15% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,087 | +$44 +2.1% | 10 |
| 360d | mep | Paz by 10–15% | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,373 | +$421 +7.8% | 10 |
| 360d | jdvs | Paz by 5–10% | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | −$130 −10% | — |
| 360d |  ciro2 | Paz by 10–15% | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,833 | +$267 +9.4% | 10 |
| 360d | kcnyekchno2 fills | Paz by 10–15% | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $16,397 | +$2,774 +17% | 10 |
| 360d | kcnyekchno2 fills | Paz by 5–10% | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,790 | +$730 +19% | 10 |
| 360d | lava-lava | Paz by 5–10% | BuyNo11¢ → 0¢ | $1,245 | −$1,245 −100% | 12 |
| 361d | StudentMoney | Paz by 15–20% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 361d |  mantou11 | Paz by 15–20% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,549 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 361d | quanterty | Paz by 0–5% | SellNo>99¢ | $35,583 | −$59 −0.2% | — |
ciro23,309 shares
cynical-reason2,811 shares
Cookedtan995 sharesA second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025 This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Paz by 5–10% means the market gives it about 100%.