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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 13% | +1 pts | −3 pts | 11¢ · 14¢ (3¢) | — | in 256d |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 12% | −1 pts | −5 pts | 8¢ · 15¢ (7¢) | — | in 256d |
| VfB Stuttgart | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 256d |
| FC Augsburg | 14% | — | +2 pts | 12¢ · 15¢ (3¢) | — | in 256d |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 256d |
| SC Freiburg | 3% | 0 pts | +2 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 256d |
| 1. FC Köln | 28% | — | −2 pts | 28¢ · 29¢ (1¢) | — | in 256d |
| RB Leipzig | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 256d |
| FC Schalke 04 | 27% | — | +9 pts | 26¢ · 27¢ (1¢) | — | in 256d |
| SV Elversberg | 28% | +4 pts | +13 pts | 28¢ · 29¢ (1¢) | — | in 256d |
| Bayern Munich | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 256d |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 7% | +2 pts | −2 pts | 5¢ · 8¢ (3¢) | — | in 256d |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 256d |
| Union Berlin | 43% | +9 pts | +6 pts | 40¢ · 45¢ (5¢) | $249 | in 256d |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 41% | +5 pts | +13 pts | 38¢ · 43¢ (5¢) | $159 | in 256d |
| SC Paderborn | 42% | −8 pts | −8 pts | 39¢ · 44¢ (5¢) | $44 | in 256d |
| Hamburger SV | 23% | −1 pts | −20 pts | 22¢ · 24¢ (2¢) | $20 | in 256d |
| Mainz 05 | 9% | +1 pts | — | 2¢ · 16¢ (14¢) | — | in 256d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Stonktrader | SC Paderborn | BuyNo52¢ → 59¢ | $1,822 | +$226 +12% | 24 |
| 37d | chongchongpanda | Borussia Dortmund | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,044 | +$25 +2.4% | 4 |
extractive-manatee1,239 shares
funplayer-152 shares
Haradwaith59 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 13¢ for Werder Bremen means the market gives it about 13%.
