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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stansfield | 0% | — | −15 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Thien Ho | 0% | 0 pts | −47 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Lauren Babb Tomlinson | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Tyler Vandenberg | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kevin Kiley | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 97¢ · >99¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Martha Guerrero | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Richard Pan | 100% | +1 pts | +16 pts | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Michael Stansfield means the market gives it about 0%.