| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 17d | No | 1,520 | 34¢ → 53¢ | $798 | +$280 +54% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 1,000 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $555 | −$29 −5.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 520 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $447 | +$20 +4.8% |
| Will Trudy peak at Category 3?Ends in 9d | Yes | 385 | 55¢ → 94¢ | $362 | +$150 +71% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 500 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $328 | −$3 −0.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 500 | 61¢ → 63¢ | $313 | +$8 +2.5% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | No | 330 | 60¢ → 91¢ | $302 | +$104 +53% |
| Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | No | 272 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $255 | +$36 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 9%-12%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 22¢ → 25¢ | $245 | +$25 +11% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 276 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $235 | +$9 +3.8% |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 2,128 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $232 | −$40 −15% |
| Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | No | 238 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $229 | +$27 +14% |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 240 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $227 | +$28 +14% |
| Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Ends ended | Over | 499 | 69¢ → 45¢ | $224 | −$120 −35% |
| Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | No | 235 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $223 | +$31 +16% |
| Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | No | 241 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $223 | +$22 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 75%-80%?Ends in 17d | No | 270 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $216 | +$16 +8.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 70%-75%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 570 | 27¢ → 37¢ | $211 | +$55 +35% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | No | 250 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $210 | +$21 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,000 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $210 | −$10 −4.5% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 440d | No | 200 | 82¢ → 99¢ | $199 | +$34 +21% |
| Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$27 +16% |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 205 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $193 | +$18 +10% |
| Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Ends ended | No | 194 | 78¢ → 98¢ | $191 | +$40 +26% |
| Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | No | 196 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $184 | +$25 +15% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 920 | 10¢ → 20¢ | $184 | +$94 +104% |
| Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$20 +12% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?Ends in 11d | Yes | 563 | 18¢ → 33¢ | $183 | +$80 +77% |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | No | 201 | 70¢ → 91¢ | $182 | +$42 +30% |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 197 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $181 | +$15 +8.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 920 | 10¢ → 20¢ | $179 | +$89 +97% |
| Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 193 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $179 | +$29 +20% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $175 | +$4 +2.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 201 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $175 | +$20 +13% |
| Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Ends in 3d | No | 175 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $173 | +$23 +16% |
| Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | Yes | 210 | 62¢ → 82¢ | $172 | +$43 +33% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 175 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $158 | +$43 +38% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 170 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $158 | +$20 +15% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 17d | No | 190 | 69¢ → 83¢ | $157 | +$25 +19% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 75%-80%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 726 | 14¢ → 21¢ | $155 | +$57 +58% |
| Will Jenee Fleenor (fiddle) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | No | 160 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $150 | +$16 +12% |
| Will Trudy peak at Category 4?Ends in 9d | No | 152 | 52¢ → 96¢ | $147 | +$67 +85% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 840 | 9¢ → 17¢ | $146 | +$72 +97% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?Ends in 60d | Yes | 174 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $141 | +$9 +6.8% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | No | 186 | 61¢ → 75¢ | $140 | +$25 +22% |
| Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 140 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $134 | +$20 +17% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 325 | 38¢ → 39¢ | $128 | +$5 +3.7% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 196 | 43¢ → 65¢ | $128 | +$43 +50% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 75%-80%?Ends in 17d | No | 129 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $124 | +$17 +16% |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 241 | 39¢ → 51¢ | $122 | +$28 +31% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | Yes | 465 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $114 | −$17 −13% |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 360 | 31¢ → 31¢ | $112 | +$1 +0.7% |
| West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesEnds in 6d | India | 200 | 58¢ → 55¢ | $109 | −$7 −6.0% |
| Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | No | 110 | 65¢ → 94¢ | $104 | +$32 +45% |
| Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 114 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $103 | +$16 +19% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 810 | 8¢ → 12¢ | $100 | +$32 +48% |
| Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 76d | No | 105 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $99 | +$13 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,071 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $97 | +$9 +9.6% |
| Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 115 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $97 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 594 | 6¢ → 16¢ | $95 | +$60 +173% |
| Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | No | 95 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $94 | +$11 +13% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-07 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | No | 145 | 55¢ → 65¢ | $94 | +$14 +18% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 35%-40%?Ends in 17d | No | 110 | 68¢ → 85¢ | $93 | +$18 +24% |
| Will Paul Franklin (steel guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | Yes | 185 | 26¢ → 50¢ | $93 | +$43 +89% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 20%-25%?Ends in 16d | No | 97 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $92 | +$3 +3.7% |
| Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?Ends in 59d | No | 145 | 37¢ → 63¢ | $91 | +$38 +70% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 365 | 9¢ → 25¢ | $89 | +$57 +176% |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 497 | 24¢ → 18¢ | $87 | −$33 −27% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 165 | 35¢ → 53¢ | $87 | +$29 +49% |
| Will Adam Telle be the next confirmed Army Secretary?Ends in 824d | Yes | 210 | 16¢ → 41¢ | $86 | +$52 +153% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 45% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$5 +6.2% |
| Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | No | 230 | 45¢ → 36¢ | $83 | −$20 −19% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 405 | 18¢ → 20¢ | $81 | +$8 +11% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 275,000 and 300,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 320 | 11¢ → 25¢ | $80 | +$46 +137% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 75¢ → 80¢ | $80 | +$4 +5.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,071 | 8¢ → 7¢ | $79 | −$3 −3.2% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 500,000 and 550,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 337 | 10¢ → 24¢ | $79 | +$45 +131% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | No | 110 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $79 | +$5 +6.4% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 403 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $79 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 79 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $78 | +$13 +20% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 30% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 80 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $77 | +$6 +8.6% |
| Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Ends in 3d | No | 85 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $76 | +$11 +18% |
| Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 78 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $75 | +$11 +17% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,450,000 and 2,600,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 294 | 8¢ → 26¢ | $75 | +$51 +218% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election by 15%-18%?Ends in 17d | No | 86 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $75 | +$9 +13% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 343 | 11¢ → 22¢ | $74 | +$36 +93% |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 86 | 54¢ → 86¢ | $74 | +$27 +58% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 322 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $74 | −$2 −2.2% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Ends in 1d | No | 107 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $74 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 17d | No | 95 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $72 | +$2 +2.1% |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?Ends in 60d | No | 75 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $71 | +$7 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 65%-70%?Ends in 17d | No | 77 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $71 | +$7 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 569 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $71 | +$9 +15% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 9%-12%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 554 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $69 | +$2 +3.2% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 35% or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 355 | 9¢ → 19¢ | $68 | +$37 +118% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?Ends in 24d | Yes | 270 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $68 | +$3 +4.2% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 85 | 72¢ → 79¢ | $67 | +$6 +9.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?Ends in 17d | No | 81 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $66 | +$3 +5.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | No | 112 | 61¢ → 59¢ | $66 | −$2 −3.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 229 | 7¢ → 28¢ | $65 | +$50 +338% |
