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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,338 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 298d | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$11 +0.8% | 4 | |
| 301d | QMG-CORE3 fills | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,501 | +$282 +6.3% | 4 |
| 304d | Smallpeepee4 fills | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,410 | +$510 +4.5% | 4 |
| 306d | warren332 fills | Erdoğan out in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,626 | −$68 −1.9% | — |
| 317d | Erdoğan out in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$21 −2.0% | — | |
| 336d | warren33 | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$26 +2.3% | 4 |
| 351d | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,827 | +$266 +7.0% | 4 | |
| 367d | can111 | Erdoğan out in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$51 −4.8% | — |
| 416d | Erdoğan out in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,638 | −$168 −6.4% | — | |
| 438d | can111 | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$105 +5.3% | 4 |
| 454d | Starry-Flanker | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$158 +5.3% | 4 |
| 454d | Retired-Davis | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,777 | +$360 +7.5% | 4 |
| 463d | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,179 | +$276 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 471d | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,652 | +$144 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 475d | SABO1122 fills | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,548 | +$267 +10% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the Republic of Türkiye Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is removed from power for any length of time between March 10, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Erdoğan will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Türkiye within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.