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Polymarket wallet 0x25d232b7f2c3421f4fffcebce4d507f2ebd6000a · on Polymarket since Jun 22, 2025 · also shown as Leading-Overshoot
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,562 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $94 | −$206 −69% |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,630 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,601 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$560 −100% |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 523 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 145 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 313 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US forces in Iran before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,024 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| US forces in Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 588 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Erdoğan out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,195 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$598 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 227d | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $300 |
| 227d | Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | SellYes85¢ | $210 |
| 227d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SellNo83¢ | $101 |
| 250d | Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $50 |
| 250d | Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | BuyYes81¢ | $200 |
| 250d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo82¢ | $100 |
| 250d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo83¢ | $120 |
| 250d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $20 |
| 250d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes16¢ | $50 |
| 480d | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $100 |
| 480d | US forces in Iran before August? | BuyYes5¢ | $56 |
| 480d | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes38¢ | $200 |
| 482d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BuyYes10¢ | $560 |
| 482d | Erdoğan out in 2025? | BuyYes14¢ | $598 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.