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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 294d |  AGPamBondi | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,224 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 295d |  GollumGekko | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | +$9 +0.6% | 4 |
| 302d | abuzzin | US forces in Iran in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,786 | −$198 −3.4% | — |
| 308d |  spectral-mango-protocol | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 338d |  NoClueAtAll | US forces in Iran in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | −$66 −4.0% | — |
| 353d |  Arlette | US forces in Iran in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,944 | −$56 −2.9% | — |
| 360d |  DEGENKHAN | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$48 +4.2% | 4 |
| 361d | NoClueAtAll | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 4 |
| 361d | Arlette | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 4 |
| 366d |  Trumputin | US forces in Iran in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,036 | −$370 −5.3% | — |
| 381d | FragMalDenRalle | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,926 | +$123 +6.4% | 4 |
| 381d | JPLP | US forces in Iran in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$105 −7.5% | — |
| 398d | phantomscr1pt | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$160 +6.4% | 4 |
| 407d | skylove | US forces in Iran in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,286 | −$210 −6.4% | — |
| 408d |  suavejonas | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$47 +4.2% | 4 |
| 409d |  ImJustKen | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,433 | +$128 +5.3% | 4 |
| 410d | Rainbow-Jereme2 fills | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $8,880 | +$647 +7.3% | 4 |
| 416d | TerreMoto | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$400 +8.7% | 4 |
| 417d | SILF3 fills | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,403 | +$557 +8.7% | 4 |
| 418d | abuzzin2 fills | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$400 +8.7% | 4 |
| 436d | skylove2 fills | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,183 | +$589 +11% | 4 |
| 441d |  KazLC | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,039 | +$498 +9.9% | 4 |
| 442d | Trumputin | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$128 +9.9% | 4 |
| 443d |  LucyCross | US forces in Iran in 2025? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,632 | −$622 −13% | — |
| 446d |  x3560 | US forces in Iran in 2025? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,243 | −$494 −12% | — |
| 463d |  MisTKy3 | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,157 | +$609 +9.9% | 4 |
| 471d | Gdub | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,060 | +$340 +11% | 4 |
| 471d | LucyCross | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$164 +11% | 4 |
| 473d | x3560 | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | +$550 +12% | 4 |
| 473d |  Plant2tri | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,786 | +$243 +14% | 4 |
| 477d | KrackenSruster | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,391 | +$631 +14% | 4 |
| 477d | 1029das | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$189 +16% | 4 |
| 480d |  siick | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$233 +18% | 4 |
| 481d | Folletin | US forces in Iran in 2025? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,717 | +$542 +32% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Iran for combat operations at any point between June 21, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. High ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.