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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October meeting | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January meeting | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December meeting | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 353d | wkwkhokya | October meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $1,916 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 353d |  StingerT | December meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $2,519 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 353d |  Trepokt | October meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $1,205 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 353d | StingerT | January meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $1,193 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 353d |  debased | January meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $15,254 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 353d | TheRealWarMonger | December meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $1,295 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 353d | TheRealWarMonger | January meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $1,610 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 353d | debased4 fills | October meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $81,696 | −$355 −0.4% | — |
| 353d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | January meeting | BuyYes>99¢ | $53,276 | +$57 +0.1% | 10 |
| 353d |  aldynspeedruns | October meeting | SellYes>99¢ | $4,766 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 353d |  Debosnys | January meeting | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,004 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 353d | KimsCrunchCut | December meeting | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,341 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 353d | ilovecircle | January meeting | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,465 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 353d | AgricultureSecretary | December meeting | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,328 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 353d | 0x89cd…4d7d | October meeting | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 353d | rwo4 fills | January meeting | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,910 | +$46 +0.4% | 10 |
| 353d | debased2 fills | December meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,212 | +$83 +0.8% | 10 |
| 353d | takeme2themoon2 fills | October meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,150 | +$39 +0.6% | 10 |
| 353d |  Orwell844 | October meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,693 | +$19 +1.1% | 10 |
| 353d | Popeyesfriedchicken2 fills | January meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,344 | +$30 +0.6% | 10 |
| 353d | GondorCallsForAid | December meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,131 | +$27 +0.5% | 10 |
| 353d |  ReggaeJoe2 fills | October meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,991 | +$126 +1.3% | 10 |
| 353d | ourdemocracy22 fills | January meeting | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,918 | +$22 +0.4% | 10 |
| 353d | WAGMI-369 | October meeting | BuyNo2¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 10 |
| 354d |  elmcap2 | October meeting | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | −$90 −1.8% | — |
| 354d |  10000Bets | October meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$18 +1.3% | 10 |
| 354d | runitup80 | January meeting | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 354d | runitup80 | January meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$12 +0.6% | 10 |
| 355d | StingerT2 fills | December meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,741 | +$44 +1.2% | 10 |
| 355d | Popeyesfriedchicken | December meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | +$8 +0.6% | 10 |
| 356d | taiachi4683 | January meeting | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | −$24 −1.2% | — |
| 356d | taiachi4683 | January meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$12 +0.6% | 10 |
| 358d | debased | October meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,424 | +$169 +1.3% | 10 |
| 359d | QMG-CORE2 fills | December meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,622 | +$68 +1.5% | 10 |
| 359d | aldynspeedruns | October meeting | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,710 | +$111 +2.4% | 10 |
| 361d | StingerT | January meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,157 | +$33 +1.5% | 10 |
| 365d | haninsnara | October meeting | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,577 | +$73 +2.0% | 10 |
| 365d |  carySantano | December meeting | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | +$24 +1.2% | 10 |
| 367d |  GoldmanSachs | December meeting | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | −$32 −2.2% | — |
| 368d |  net-50CUT | December meeting | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$20 +1.8% | 10 |
| 375d | debased | December meeting | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$44 −4.3% | — |
georgietrades28,861 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between September 18 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2025, currently scheduled for October 28–29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no relevant statement is released for this meeting by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for October meeting means the market gives it about 100%.