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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 23 | 100% | +13 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 100% | +5 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 15 | 0% | 0 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 22 | 0% | −3 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 17 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 21 | 0% | −2 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 19 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176d | abccbaq | April 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,278 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d | icantwinanymore | April 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,384 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 176d | bshcoin | April 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,426 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 176d |  richsmith | April 23 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,540 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 176d |  jesterthegoose | April 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,215 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d | oidoioi | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,185 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 176d |  The-Joker | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,592 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 176d | The-Joker | April 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,329 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 176d | The-Joker3 fills | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,288 | +$42 +0.3% | 20 |
| 176d | Expert-Bunkhouse4 fills | April 23 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $18,149 | +$1,174 +6.5% | 20 |
| 176d | Animated-Businessman3 fills | April 23 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $21,539 | +$1,566 +7.3% | 20 |
| 176d | Villainous-Agriculture2 fills | April 23 | BuyNo16¢ → 0¢ | $3,921 | −$3,921 −100% | 32 |
| 176d |  ProfessionalPunter2 fills | April 23 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,286 | +$263 +8.0% | 20 |
| 176d |  dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider3 fills | April 23 | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,546 | −$759 −17% | — |
| 176d | kukubaja | April 23 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,326 | −$224 −9.6% | — |
| 176d |  tourists5 fills | April 23 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $14,975 | +$1,824 +12% | 20 |
| 176d |  HowToBasic2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,500 | +$151 +1.0% | 20 |
| 176d |  Noixaref3 fills | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,229 | +$71 +1.3% | 20 |
| 176d | Noixaref3 fills | April 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,107 | +$124 +2.0% | 20 |
| 176d |  Waterfall | April 23 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,693 | +$107 +6.3% | 20 |
| 177d |  Dzibra1998.3 fills | April 23 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $7,489 | +$934 +12% | 20 |
| 177d |  brokenrecords | June 30 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,110 | −$43 −2.0% | — |
| 177d | Djibooty | April 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$36 +3.3% | 20 |
| 177d | onekey09 | April 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,779 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 177d | Animated-Businessman2 fills | April 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $13,195 | +$470 +3.6% | 20 |
| 177d | d85jg3979 | April 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$167 +3.4% | 20 |
| 177d |  ShibRigsEverything2 fills | June 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,412 | −$38 −1.1% | — |
| 177d | calm.rabbit | April 30 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,876 | +$183 +9.7% | 20 |
| 177d | bdltestacco4 fills | April 23 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $9,512 | +$2,265 +24% | 20 |
| 178d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | April 22 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,477 | +$51 +3.5% | 20 |
| 178d | sand1 | April 21 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 178d | tourists3 fills | April 22 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,617 | +$183 +3.3% | 20 |
| 178d | bdltestacco | April 30 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,691 | +$110 +6.5% | 20 |
| 179d |  AndrewPope | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$75 +2.0% | 20 |
| 183d | dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider | April 22 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | −$68 −5.0% | — |
| 183d | chriszyy3 | April 17 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,336 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 184d |  epsilonbonds | April 30 | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,456 | −$421 −29% | — |
| 184d |  Contentious-Dinnerdate | April 23 | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | −$691 −51% | — |
| 186d |  Parz1vaI2 fills | April 17 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,215 | +$161 +5.0% | 21 |
| 186d | Contentious-Dinnerdate | April 30 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | −$114 −11% | — |
| 186d | Parz1vaI2 fills | April 15 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,986 | +$204 +4.1% | 20 |
| 186d | parsifal2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,260 | +$52 +2.3% | 20 |
| 187d | daddypapi | April 23 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$254 +18% | 23 |
| 187d | dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider | April 30 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$177 +18% | 20 |
| 187d | daddypapi | April 15 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | −$108 −7.5% | — |
| 189d | daddypapi | April 15 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$181 +13% | 21 |
| 189d | Contentious-Dinnerdate | April 30 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$187 +18% | 20 |
| 191d | hell0pia4 fills | April 15 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $22,000 | +$9,128 +41% | 20 |
| 193d | Linslav | April 15 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$530 +44% | 20 |
| 213d |  isWaterWet | April 30 | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | −$445 −41% | — |
| 220d | agraw | June 30 | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $10,080 | +$10,080 +100% | — |
| 220d | Rough-ReformNew account | June 30 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $46,963 | +$33,042 +70% | 29 |
| 220d | Rough-ReformNew account | April 30 | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $29,420 | −$25,080 −85% | — |
| 220d | agraw2 fills | April 30 | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $25,085 | −$25,085 −100% | 22 |
| 220d | niki342 fills | June 30 | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $31,920 | −$24,080 −75% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family, or similar variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 23 means the market gives it about 100%.