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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 0% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| July 31 | 0% | −50 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| August 7 | 100% | 0 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70d | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,027 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 77d | Palace8709 | July 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,057 | +$87 +1.2% | 20 |
| 106d | Maria-s | December 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,818 | −$34 −0.9% | — |
| 108d | NeoOracle2 fills | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,194 | +$14 +0.3% | 20 |
| 108d | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,128 | +$89 +2.8% | 20 | |
| 109d | Maria-s2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,591 | +$9 +0.4% | 20 |
| 109d | Maria-s2 fills | June 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,078 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 118d | bbbcccc | June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$23 +1.6% | 20 |
| 176d | crabpool | December 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,919 | +$81 +4.2% | 20 |
| 186d | December 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$79 +5.3% | 20 | |
| 230d | June 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,252 | −$97 −3.0% | — | |
| 242d | 0xD03CdFBAb84De34A9C365BE2198571E6fb5C3F4 | June 30 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | −$50 −2.6% | — |
| 269d | ilyck | June 30 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | −$86 −7.5% | — |
| 277d | Smallpeepee4 fills | June 30 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $8,066 | +$605 +7.5% | 20 |
| 278d | June 30 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$199 +9.9% | 20 | |
| 278d | December 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$126 +8.4% | 20 | |
| 279d | June 30 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | +$136 +11% | 20 | |
| 282d | June 30 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$142 +12% | 20 | |
| 284d | ilyck | June 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$177 +15% | 20 |
| 284d | June 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,611 | +$241 +15% | 20 | |
| 285d | tu1 | June 30 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$150 +15% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colombia’s current leader, President Gustavo Petro, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Petro will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Colombia within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 0%.