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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | 100% | +74 pts | +80 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <1hr | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1hr 45m - 2hr | 0% | −13 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2hr - 2hr 15m | 0% | −9 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2hr 15m - 2hr 30m | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2hr 30m+ | 0% | −8 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1hr - 1hr 15m | 0% | −10 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | 0% | −24 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Not Completed | 0% | −7 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 265d | roby1 | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,298 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  fliptillrich | Not Completed | SellNo>99¢ | $1,127 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  Gaojinlikechocolate3 fills | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,874 | −$913 −24% | — |
| 265d | Circular-Wifi | <1hr | SellNo>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | LBZone2 fills | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $4,526 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  fElon | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,223 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Hulabaloo | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $2,059 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 265d | fishyfishyfishy | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,820 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
| 265d | Basic-DahliaNew account | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,067 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 265d | Flancho | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,157 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | theigloo | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,016 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d |  LiquidatedDegen | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $4,220 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 265d |  Parz1vaI | <1hr | SellNo>99¢ | $1,512 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | LBZone | Not Completed | SellNo>99¢ | $2,857 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | 1904 | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $2,520 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 265d |  MooseDragonSZND | Not Completed | SellNo>99¢ | $1,993 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | JeremyWade | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | kobebryant | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,816 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  seal7 | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | 2117 | 2hr 30m+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,839 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  pmtosat- | Not Completed | SellNo>99¢ | $1,700 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  a4ther | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,657 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Grim-ExchangeNew account | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,208 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Perfect-ResetNew account | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,725 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  awlkuidhalwidhliawfd | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,907 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  dreakso | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $3,195 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 265d | Juvenile-Streetcar | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes>99¢ | $1,118 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 265d | third-eye3 fills | 1hr 45m - 2hr | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,420 | +$87 +0.6% | 4 |
| 265d |  BlondBeast | 1hr 45m - 2hr | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 265d | fElon | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,194 | +$32 +1.0% | 4 |
| 265d | gunnar2423 fills | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,226 | +$122 +0.9% | 4 |
| 265d | third-eye8 fills | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $69,547 | +$950 +1.4% | 4 |
| 265d | il1 | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 4 |
| 265d | fengshengshuiqi88 | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,669 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 265d | 1904 | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 265d | fishyfishyfishy | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,298 | +$35 +1.0% | 4 |
| 265d | OracleOfPR | 2hr - 2hr 15m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,592 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 265d |  49023809234904 | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | SellNo>99¢ | $3,359 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | PholyBettor | 2hr - 2hr 15m | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,218 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 265d | Nuzjfmp6 | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 265d | 49023809234904 | <1hr | SellNo>99¢ | $3,883 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | gmanas | Not Completed | BuyNo100¢ | $9,083 | +$46 +0.5% | 4 |
| 265d | bondfolio | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,923 | +$45 +2.4% | 4 |
| 265d |  tourists | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,060 | +$169 +4.2% | 4 |
| 265d | bigwinner03 | 2hr - 2hr 15m | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,486 | −$25 −0.7% | — |
| 265d | Juvenile-Streetcar | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$25 +2.3% | 4 |
| 265d |  hampstar | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$136 +2.7% | 4 |
| 265d | Winter-Wonderland | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$136 +12% | 4 |
| 265d | fishyfishyfishy | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,358 | −$502 −21% | — |
| 265d | Gaojinlikechocolate2 fills | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,543 | +$498 +20% | 4 |
| 265d | Dicccccc | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $6,713 | −$2,844 −42% | — |
| 265d | Miojinho2 fills | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,083 | −$103 −3.3% | — |
| 265d | bigwinner03 | 2hr - 2hr 15m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$24 +1.2% | 4 |
| 265d | bigwinner03 | <1hr | SellNo>99¢ | $3,120 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 265d |  isunou | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,954 | −$46 −2.4% | — |
| 265d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,390 | +$110 +2.0% | 4 |
| 265d | lichong358 | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,156 | −$44 −2.0% | — |
| 265d | Melody626 | 1 hr 15m - 1 hr 30m | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,039 | −$205 −2.0% | — |
| 265d | Dicccccc | 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $7,969 | +$1,587 +20% | 4 |
| 265d | Dicccccc | 1hr 45m - 2hr | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $4,654 | +$815 +18% | 4 |
Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo. Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available). Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire. If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 1hr 30m - 1hr 45m means the market gives it about 100%.