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Polymarket wallet 0xaf35ed1deea59d6cca8c67e282819bdbc8498f06 · on Polymarket since Dec 28, 2025 · also shown as Flaky-Pond
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,358 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 2:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,020 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.