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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191d |  adorn | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,528 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 191d | pmwinner4 fills | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,653 | +$120 +0.8% | 20 |
| 191d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,278 | +$28 +0.8% | 20 |
| 191d |  ScottyNooo3 fills | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $5,596 | +$2,690 +48% | 20 |
| 191d | Sonix | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,575 | +$105 +6.7% | 20 |
| 191d | stinkbidbot | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$209 +10% | 20 |
| 191d |  Car2 fills | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,082 | +$790 +26% | 20 |
| 192d | KrackenSruster | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 20 |
| 192d | Skinny-Class | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $4,427 | −$4,427 −100% | 20 |
| 193d | Arman2 | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | −$278 −24% | — |
| 193d |  Rex416 | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 20 |
| 194d | Arman2 | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$159 +12% | 20 |
| 195d | orangeapplejuice | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$122 +12% | 20 |
Lavincey374 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.