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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 442d | nedsta | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,603 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 442d | esac | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,526 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 442d |  Crypto-Dawg | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 443d | 2470 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,006 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 443d | RobertoRubio | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,205 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 443d |  dooby | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,852 | +$18 +0.1% | 20 |
| 443d |  Goopster | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,981 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 443d | Cal800 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,212 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 443d | Qtyu | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,915 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 443d | xasayarrr2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $17,430 | −$69 −0.4% | — |
| 443d |  bosshog2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,945 | +$55 +0.8% | 20 |
| 443d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $97,991 | +$288 +0.3% | 20 |
| 444d |  Arlette2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,935 | +$75 +0.3% | 20 |
| 444d | Isorra | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,432 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 445d | Yasamoridi | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 445d | affs20791 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,460 | −$40 −0.9% | — |
| 446d |  scottilicious5 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $31,422 | +$975 +3.1% | 20 |
| 446d | lowrisk242 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,136 | −$37 −0.9% | — |
| 446d |  scrooge9 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $40,463 | +$1,854 +4.6% | 20 |
| 446d |  just.some.guy2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,268 | −$40 −0.9% | — |
| 447d | asonetuhid | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,472 | −$28 −0.8% | — |
| 447d | HanSolo242 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,759 | −$41 −0.9% | — |
| 448d |  Vladooos | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $56,574 | −$456 −0.8% | — |
| 448d | aviato | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 448d | nonkenny904 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,755 | −$135 −0.8% | — |
| 448d |  tourists | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | −$16 −0.8% | — |
| 449d | amused852 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,209 | −$58 −1.8% | — |
| 450d | Niseko3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,930 | −$70 −1.0% | — |
| 450d | Junior-Colt | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,926 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 450d | ChampaLiberation3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,018 | +$159 +1.4% | 20 |
| 450d |  allenzzz | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$17 +1.2% | 20 |
| 450d |  Ogonee | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,428 | −$39 −1.6% | — |
| 451d | RepulsiveMule77 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$19 −1.6% | — |
| 451d | asonetuhid | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,458 | +$42 +1.2% | 20 |
| 452d |  Euan | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,076 | +$34 +1.6% | 20 |
| 452d |  studmuffin6969 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$34 +1.7% | 20 |
| 453d |  Rolocex | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$24 +2.1% | 20 |
| 454d | 1.3m | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,026 | −$28 −2.7% | — |
| 455d |  CMCAM | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,923 | −$77 −2.6% | — |
| 455d |  0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,065 | +$104 +2.6% | 20 |
| 456d | dzsibenaja | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,001 | +$256 +2.6% | 20 |
| 456d | funguy1988 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$28 −2.8% | — |
| 456d | 0x253d…330713 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $45,796 | +$6,691 +15% | 20 |
| 456d | gerrydono | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$30 −2.9% | — |
| 457d | Raptorr | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$33 +2.6% | 20 |
| 458d | mctrading | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,663 | −$337 −3.5% | — |
| 458d |  WaitHope2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,379 | −$308 −3.0% | — |
| 460d | Imperial1 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | −$42 −3.1% | — |
| 461d |  Parz1vaI3 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,067 | −$420 −8.3% | — |
| 462d | nedsta2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,809 | +$162 +5.8% | 20 |
| 462d |  Serega-pro | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,923 | −$77 −4.0% | — |
| 462d |  JJo | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | +$104 +4.2% | 20 |
| 462d | lordedward | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,123 | −$539 −4.1% | — |
| 464d | Xmr | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,600 | −$277 −4.2% | — |
| 464d |  WordleAddict | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $111,478 | +$4,645 +4.2% | 20 |
| 464d | Vladooos | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $54,749 | +$2,281 +4.2% | 20 |
| 465d |  Hyperliquid.hl | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,931 | −$410 −5.9% | — |
| 465d | affs20791 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,275 | +$225 +5.3% | 20 |
| 466d | xasayarrr2 fills | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $11,749 | +$750 +6.4% | 20 |
| 467d | Logan. | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | −$140 −7.5% | — |
Maegor5,240 shares
MAMOHT6 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran of for any length of time between June 19, 2025, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Khamenei has remained Supreme Leader for the entire duration without interruption. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the government of Iran, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.