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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Lynch | 100% | +20 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Patrick Roath | 0% | −20 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Zylberfink | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45d | pantomime | Patrick Roath | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | +$241 +14% | 10 |
| 45d | Patrick Roath | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $11,781 | +$2,610 +22% | 10 | |
| 45d | flawfence | Stephen Lynch | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $12,105 | +$3,529 +29% | 10 |
| 45d | donthackme2 fills | Patrick Roath | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,415 | +$585 +24% | 15 |
| 45d | Stephen Lynch | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,828 | +$1,028 +18% | 10 | |
| 45d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed3 fills | Patrick Roath | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,792 | +$1,048 +22% | 13 |
| 47d | monty86 | Stephen Lynch | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,256 | +$434 +19% | 14 |
| 47d | Illustrious-Jewelry2 fills | Stephen Lynch | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $7,351 | +$1,663 +23% | 11 |
| 49d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Stephen Lynch | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,256 | +$439 +19% | 13 |
| 50d | PepsiWarrior | Stephen Lynch | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$178 +18% | 11 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Stephen Lynch means the market gives it about 100%.