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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | +98 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 441d |  MuskingMyRockets | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $40,974 | −$41 −0.1% | — |
| 442d |  Debosnys3 fills | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $55,859 | −$56 −0.1% | — |
| 442d | kekegabor | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,060 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 442d | Debosnys2 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $28,695 | +$29 +0.1% | 4 |
| 442d | LBZone4 fills | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $35,938 | −$66 −0.2% | — |
| 442d |  cookiejar | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,978 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 442d | LBZone16 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $89,878 | +$1,820 +2.0% | 5 |
| 442d | joseph56 | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,003 | −$17 −0.3% | — |
| 442d | abutler | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $5,027 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 442d | PnW | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $14,860 | −$30 −0.2% | — |
| 442d |  Ostyak | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,101 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 443d |  Yuidesu | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,737 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 443d |  bosshog2 fills | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,626 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 443d |  CoffeeDespiser2 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,124 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 443d | Po452 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,331 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 443d | joseph56 | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,015 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 443d | abutler | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,033 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 443d | amoxiclav | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,925 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 443d | kekegabor | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,060 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 443d | amused85 | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $7,485 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 443d |  liIypad | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,228 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 444d | ErBrasile | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,381 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 444d | Bip-Bop | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,844 | −$18 −0.3% | — |
| 444d | mirand | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 444d | Anexud | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,394 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 444d | liIypad | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,228 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 444d | 0x253d…3307 | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,447 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 444d | 88Dragon88Earth88Dragon88 | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,332 | −$28 −0.3% | — |
| 444d | maxhedge | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $10,072 | −$30 −0.3% | — |
| 444d |  MLBksRETARD | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,691 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 444d |  prescient | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,389 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 444d |  worried | Megaquake before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,031 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 444d | JHRUE | Megaquake before August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,464 | −$198 −1.5% | — |
| 444d |  BFBB | Megaquake before August? | SellYes100¢ | $1,006 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 444d | RomanN5 | Megaquake before August? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | −$34 −2.9% | — |
| 444d |  duderr | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$14 +1.3% | 4 |
| 444d |  Car2 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,186 | +$176 +1.6% | 4 |
| 444d | prescient | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$28 +2.0% | 5 |
| 444d | applesandbananas4 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,544 | +$314 +2.5% | 5 |
| 444d | worried2 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,623 | +$376 +6.7% | 5 |
| 444d |  gopfan2 | Megaquake before August? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,642 | −$294 −11% | — |
| 444d |  ponygal | Megaquake before August? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,878 | −$330 −18% | — |
| 444d | 0x60f7293958a1b49f25a00a6af0199cbc7a1c050 | Megaquake before August? | SellNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,179 | +$1,179 +100% | — |
| 444d |  AgricultureSecretary | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | +$2,710 +170% | 10 |
| 444d | sara90 | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo>99¢ → 0¢ | $5,040 | −$5,040 −100% | 4 |
| 444d | donald98 | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $5,015 | −$5,015 −100% | 4 |
| 444d | jessicanicholson | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $5,015 | −$5,015 −100% | 4 |
| 445d | larsonzachary | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $5,019 | −$5,019 −100% | 4 |
| 445d | wardmaria | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $5,024 | −$5,024 −100% | 4 |
| 445d | nonkenny90 | Megaquake before August? | SellNo99¢ → 0¢ | $3,400 | +$3,400 +100% | — |
| 451d | mitraa5 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $10,419 | −$10,419 −100% | 4 |
| 458d | 0x60f7293958a1b49f25a00a6af0199cbc7a1c0503 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $9,197 | −$9,197 −100% | 4 |
| 458d | lowrisk243 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $11,794 | −$11,794 −100% | 4 |
| 460d | nonkenny903 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $6,034 | −$6,034 −100% | 4 |
| 460d | colethereum2 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $2,146 | −$2,146 −100% | 4 |
| 461d | LBZone2 fills | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $2,951 | −$2,951 −100% | 4 |
| 463d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | Megaquake before August? | SellNo96¢ → 0¢ | $5,741 | +$5,741 +100% | — |
| 467d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f72 | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $3,216 | −$3,216 −100% | 4 |
| 469d | LBZone | Megaquake before August? | SellNo97¢ → 0¢ | $2,112 | +$2,112 +100% | — |
| 471d | 0x08ca0fb367c995d96eb12ad09d5eb8be793d2817 | Megaquake before August? | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,262 | −$1,262 −100% | 4 |
A62011,250 shares
Love.always.wins.over.hatred.and.envy7,121 sharesA "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on earth between June 24, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake hazards program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.