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Polymarket wallet 0x98e9d77edf3aa2e5f8c0f841aa8b8d06ae525207 · on Polymarket since Jun 6, 2025 · also shown as Spirited-Gender
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megaquake before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 4¢ → 100¢ | $128 | +$123 +2464% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$4 +45% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 54¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$3 +85% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 92 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 462d | Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? | BuyYes27¢ | $5 |
| 462d | Will OpenAI release an open source model before September? | BuyNo24¢ | $5 |
| 462d | Megaquake before August? | BuyYes4¢ | $5 |
| 462d | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BuyYes54¢ | $3 |
| 462d | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
| 462d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo69¢ | $10 |
| 462d | US recession in 2025? | BuyYes20¢ | $5 |
| 462d | Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31? | BuyYes22¢ | $20 |
| 492d | Israel military action against Iran before July? | BuyNo50¢ | $15 |
| 495d | Israel military action against Iran before July? | BuyNo80¢ | $10 |
| 495d | Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025? | BuyNo83¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.