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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 100% | +2 pts | −34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 7 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 28 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 198d | Megabyte911 | April 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,116 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 198d |  HowToBasic | April 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 198d |  AishahSofey | April 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,626 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 198d |  xebir | April 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,765 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | VICTORMAX77 | April 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,291 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | Lasting-Eyelash | April 30 | SellYes100¢ | $2,417 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 198d |  Relaccsed | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,519 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 198d |  Cerco | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,265 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 198d |  noreasapa | April 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,878 | +$122 +0.4% | 20 |
| 198d | HomelessTrader3 fills | April 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,996 | +$63 +1.6% | 20 |
| 198d | xebir | April 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,737 | +$29 +1.7% | 20 |
| 198d | VICTORMAX77 | April 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,063 | +$237 +2.4% | 20 |
| 198d | discombobulated-chicken | April 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$23 +2.1% | 20 |
| 198d | Megabyte911 | April 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,957 | +$167 +2.1% | 20 |
| 198d |  Vanquish4 fills | April 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,511 | +$326 +3.4% | 20 |
| 198d | InfraPotato | April 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,268 | +$107 +3.3% | 20 |
| 198d | Lasting-Eyelash | April 30 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,305 | +$124 +5.4% | 20 |
| 198d |  ISnortGlue | April 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$49 +4.7% | 20 |
| 198d | Xaci | April 30 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$58 +4.8% | 20 |
| 198d | 1dad | April 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,986 | +$98 +3.3% | 20 |
| 199d |  RiskyyLemon | April 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,468 | +$59 +2.4% | 20 |
| 199d | minimin78 | April 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$16 +1.6% | 20 |
| 199d | neovsmatrix666 | April 30 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,460 | +$79 +2.3% | 20 |
| 205d | Kelvin7 | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,031 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d | Healthyn87 | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,015 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d | Wildanm8 | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,028 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d | Wealthyh87 | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d | Fabianz2 | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,344 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 217d | SweetChariot3 fills | March 31 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | −$45 −0.9% | — |
| 224d | SweetChariot | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | +$12 +1.0% | 20 |
| 231d | il1 | February 28 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,192 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 234d |  -Dominus-2 fills | February 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,705 | +$16 +0.1% | 20 |
| 236d |  Slowroasted | February 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,449 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 237d | 77771 | March 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$164 +16% | 20 |
| 238d | Chume | February 28 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,143 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 238d |  Chessmaster2026 | February 28 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,282 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 241d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,622 | +$45 +0.8% | 20 |
| 244d | il1 | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,090 | +$15 +0.7% | 20 |
| 248d | dajiahaoa | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,327 | +$23 +0.7% | 20 |
| 248d | Chessmaster2026 | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | +$8 +0.6% | 20 |
| 249d | SweetChariot | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | +$14 +1.1% | 20 |
| 250d | Vanquish | February 28 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | +$22 +1.6% | 20 |
| 253d |  bbyuuui | February 28 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,015 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 |
| 254d | SweetChariot | February 28 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 255d | -Dominus- | February 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,109 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 255d | borchi | February 28 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 256d | nghr5yr | February 28 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$22 +2.2% | 20 |
| 256d | Chessmaster2026 | February 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,368 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 257d | Xenoria | Artemis II booster rupture? | SellNo89¢ → 90¢ | $1,178 | −$17 −1.5% | — |
| 257d | Xenoria | Artemis II booster rupture? | BuyNo89¢ → 90¢ | $1,179 | +$16 +1.4% | 11 |
| 258d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | February 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,276 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 258d | Vanquish | February 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,544 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 258d | SweetChariot | February 7 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,035 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 258d | Pog | February 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,874 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 260d | chartreuseverte | February 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | +$15 +1.1% | 20 |
| 260d | fdbdfg | Artemis II booster rupture? | BuyNo85¢ → 90¢ | $1,197 | +$67 +5.6% | 14 |
| 260d | gnvbfnhfh | Artemis II booster rupture? | BuyNo85¢ → 90¢ | $1,194 | +$70 +5.9% | 14 |
| 260d | nghr5yr | Artemis II booster rupture? | BuyNo85¢ → 90¢ | $1,191 | +$73 +6.1% | 14 |
| 260d | Grubby-OptimalNew account | Artemis II booster rupture? | BuyNo85¢ → 90¢ | $1,189 | +$76 +6.4% | 14 |
| 260d | Kaleidoscopic-FigurineNew account | Artemis II booster rupture? | BuyNo85¢ → 90¢ | $1,187 | +$77 +6.5% | 14 |
gudangada3 shares
nevet24116,744 shares
FluxCapacitor8814,712 sharesThis is a market on the outcome of the Artemis II mission.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 30 means the market gives it about 100%.