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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Healey | 100% | +99 pts | +99 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| Pat McFadden | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Ed Miliband | 0% | −1 pts | −68 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Darren Jones | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Wes Streeting | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Shabana Mahmood | 0% | −90 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Yvette Cooper | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Torsten Bell | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| No next Chancellor in 2026 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Louise Haigh | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Miatta Fahnbulleh | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88d | John Healey | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,252 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 88d | Trustinghorse | Yvette Cooper | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,327 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d | Trustinghorse | Ed Miliband | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,755 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d | Michael5289 | Ed Miliband | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d | Michael5289 | Yvette Cooper | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 88d | Michael5289 | Wes Streeting | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,797 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | M888 | Pat McFadden | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,648 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | Pat McFadden | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,238 | +$11 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 89d | M888 | Shabana Mahmood | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,512 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 89d | John Healey | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,579 | +$221 +4.8% | 4 | |
| 89d | Shabana Mahmood | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,351 | +$49 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 89d | Ed Miliband | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,639 | +$20 +1.2% | 4 | |
| 89d | melonmanm3 fills | John Healey | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $4,657 | +$1,343 +29% | 4 |
| 89d | neuiwsance2 fills | Shabana Mahmood | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $11,099 | +$2,605 +23% | 4 |
| 89d | M888 | No next Chancellor in 2026 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,735 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 89d | slobber | Shabana Mahmood | SellYes91¢ → 0¢ | $7,011 | +$7,011 +100% | — |
| 90d | Shabana Mahmood | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $2,310 | −$2,310 −100% | 4 | |
| 91d | Ed Miliband | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$53 −5.1% | — | |
| 92d | lineth | Shabana Mahmood | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 4 |
| 93d | Ed Miliband | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,955 | −$67 −3.4% | — | |
| 93d | Ed Miliband | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,370 | −$120 −3.6% | — | |
| 93d | conotocaurius | Shabana Mahmood | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $1,808 | −$1,808 −100% | 4 |
| 94d | Shabana Mahmood | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 | |
| 94d | rottenapples | Wes Streeting | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 94d | Shabana Mahmood | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,583 | −$1,583 −100% | 4 | |
| 94d | Ed Miliband | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$49 +3.4% | 4 | |
| 94d | neuiwsance | Shabana Mahmood | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,381 | −$1,381 −100% | 4 |
| 94d | wan123 | Shabana Mahmood | BuyYes86¢ → 0¢ | $1,378 | −$1,378 −100% | 4 |
| 94d | Newshound2 fills | Shabana Mahmood | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $3,300 | −$3,300 −100% | 4 |
| 94d | Shabana Mahmood | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | −$1,069 −100% | 4 | |
| 94d | nelbal8486 | Ed Miliband | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | −$303 −26% | — |
| 94d | Shabana Mahmood | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | +$1,096 +68% | 4 | |
| 94d | M888 | Ed Miliband | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$470 +44% | 4 |
| 95d | slobber | Shabana Mahmood | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $3,500 | −$3,500 −100% | 4 |
| 95d | slobber | Ed Miliband | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $4,461 | +$4,461 +100% | — |
| 99d | 0x79a009b7C0336273Bf3Bc7E1D940aD3e2152B9 | Ed Miliband | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,774 | −$1,774 −100% | 4 |
| 100d | pbshine | Ed Miliband | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,294 | −$1,294 −100% | 4 |
| 103d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Shabana Mahmood | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,845 | +$167 +4.4% | 4 |
| 103d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Wes Streeting | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,238 | +$774 +24% | 4 |
| 103d | HenryMainwaring2 fills | Pat McFadden | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | −$2,200 −100% | 7 |
| 103d | Bigggggggg | Louise Haigh | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,362 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 103d | Bigggggggg2 fills | John Healey | BuyNo>99¢ → 0¢ | $2,836 | −$2,836 −100% | 4 |
| 103d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Darren Jones | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$16 +0.4% | 4 |
| 103d | Bigggggggg2 fills | Torsten Bell | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,687 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 103d | HenryMainwaring | Ed Miliband | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $2,659 | +$2,659 +100% | — |
| 113d | nelbal8486 | Ed Miliband | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,788 | +$1,143 +64% | 4 |
| 113d | Bigggggggg | No next Chancellor in 2026 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,640 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 113d | Bigggggggg | Yvette Cooper | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,208 | +$439 +20% | 4 |
| 113d | Bigggggggg | Pat McFadden | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,630 | +$17 +0.6% | 4 |
| 113d | slobber | Ed Miliband | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 4 |
| 114d | Shabana Mahmood | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,972 | +$266 +4.5% | 4 | |
| 114d | Wes Streeting | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$1,074 +94% | 4 | |
| 115d | Ed Miliband | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | +$312 +27% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for John Healey means the market gives it about 100%.