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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiko Fujimori | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rafael López Aliaga | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mario Vizcarra | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Álvarez | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| César Acuña | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alfonso López Chau | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Cerrón | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Luna | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| George Forsyth | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roberto Chiabra | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Enrique Valderrama | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Williams | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fiorella Molinelli | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ricardo Belmont | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fernando Olivera | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Espá | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rafael Belaúnde Llosa | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yonhy Lescano | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mesías Guevara | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marisol Pérez Tello | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jorge Nieto | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Roberto Sánchez Palomino | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wolfgang Grozo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,451 | +$9 +0.2% | 10 |
| 154d | luliuliu | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes>99¢ | $2,176 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 157d | Dafu07155 fills | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes>99¢ | $57,606 | +$265 +0.5% | 10 |
| 162d | roccozetola2 fills | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $21,677 | −$1,399 −6.5% | — |
| 165d | AZwater | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,714 | −$34 −0.9% | — |
| 172d |  1485727384849 fills | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $18,082 | +$4,319 +24% | 13 |
| 175d | nonkenny90 | Roberto Sánchez Palomino | SellNo>99¢ | $1,142 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 176d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly6 fills | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $19,202 | −$399 −2.1% | — |
| 177d |  knrad | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | −$42 −3.2% | — |
| 177d | SnowLover74 fills | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $13,959 | −$3,133 −22% | — |
| 178d |  brunoparis | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,433 | −$36 −2.5% | — |
| 179d |  Sardinianshepherd | Rafael López Aliaga | SellNo>99¢ | $2,522 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 184d |  Wagner275738 | Rafael López Aliaga | SellNo>99¢ | $1,081 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 184d | stacey5212 | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes100¢ | $1,353 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 184d | Etak | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,072 | +$22 +0.3% | 10 |
| 185d | AZwater | Jorge Nieto | SellNo>99¢ | $3,346 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 185d |  carySantano | Jorge Nieto | SellNo>99¢ | $1,740 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | AZwater3 fills | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,535 | +$112 +0.9% | 10 |
| 186d |  Golfinho10 | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | −$20 −1.3% | — |
| 186d | Difficult-ProximalNew account | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 186d | vic7 | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | −$15 −0.9% | — |
| 186d | solmaria | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 186d | TheMasterDuster6 fills | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $54,096 | −$8,543 −16% | — |
| 186d | JFINO | Ricardo Belmont | SellNo>99¢ | $1,067 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 186d | BISTURI | Roberto Sánchez Palomino | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,358 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 186d | 471pd | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,976 | −$81 −1.6% | — |
| 187d | Faint-Caravan | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | −$52 −2.0% | — |
| 187d | 148572738484 | Ricardo Belmont | SellNo>99¢ | $2,985 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 187d | 148572738484 | Carlos Álvarez | SellNo>99¢ | $5,803 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | BallenaInversa | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes100¢ | $1,455 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 187d | influenz.eth | Ricardo Belmont | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,333 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 187d | influenz.eth | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,282 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 187d | influenz.eth | Alfonso López Chau | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,333 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 187d | influenz.eth | Roberto Sánchez Palomino | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,333 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 187d | AZwater | Alfonso López Chau | SellNo>99¢ | $6,175 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | stacey5212 | Alfonso López Chau | SellNo>99¢ | $1,082 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | stacey5212 | Carlos Álvarez | SellNo>99¢ | $1,405 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 187d | bbil1234 | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | −$107 −7.5% | — |
| 187d | Single-Principle | Ricardo Belmont | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,515 | +$10 +0.4% | 10 |
| 187d | SnowLover7 | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,697 | +$162 +9.5% | 10 |
| 187d | BallenaInversa | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$106 +10% | 10 |
| 187d | bartholomew312 fills | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $8,299 | +$1,079 +13% | 13 |
| 187d | bartholomew31 | Carlos Álvarez | SellNo>99¢ | $6,106 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 187d | JASolidoro | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,422 | −$70 −4.9% | — |
| 187d | steeplejack | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$37 +3.2% | 10 |
| 187d | Virtuousadventure | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | −$49 −4.5% | — |
| 187d | makjacky | Keiko Fujimori | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,020 | −$77 −3.8% | — |
| 187d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,211 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 187d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Ricardo Belmont | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$13 +1.1% | 10 |
| 187d | 471pd | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,674 | +$754 +21% | 10 |
| 187d | vee17 | Keiko Fujimori | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 11 |
| 187d | Difficult-ProximalNew account | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$245 +23% | 19 |
| 188d | TheMasterDuster14 fills | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $39,515 | +$13,429 +34% | 12 |
| 188d | Lagus | Rafael López Aliaga | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | −$78 −7.3% | — |
| 188d | bbil1234 | Keiko Fujimori | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,809 | +$528 +29% | 10 |
| 188d |  Parliament | Keiko Fujimori | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 11 |
| 188d | blunderbot | Alfonso López Chau | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,508 | +$6 +0.4% | 10 |
| 188d | 148572738484 | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$81 +5.8% | 12 |
| 188d | 1485727384842 fills | Ricardo Belmont | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,927 | +$131 +4.5% | 10 |
| 189d | Wagner275738 | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$77 +6.6% | 12 |
gopfan223,518 sharesParliament4,390 shares
Avarice314,377 sharesFirst-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Keiko Fujimori means the market gives it about 100%.