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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,755 | −$22 −0.6% | — |
| 475d |  sorcerer.01 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,991 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 476d |  scrooge7 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $30,310 | +$683 +2.3% | 20 |
| 476d |  Z17772 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,505 | −$106 −1.4% | — |
| 478d | sorcerer.01 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$10 +0.7% | 20 |
| 478d | BlindGibbon2 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,889 | −$237 −2.7% | — |
| 478d |  ChironCrossing | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 478d |  TheFund | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | −$50 −1.0% | — |
| 478d |  archaic | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 479d |  ScarletRot | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,388 | +$87 +1.2% | 20 |
| 479d | nonkenny90 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,442 | −$58 −1.7% | — |
| 479d |  Eridpnc2 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | −$50 −1.7% | — |
| 480d |  Milktoast2 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$706 +25% | 20 |
| 481d | lug | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,937 | −$28 −1.4% | — |
| 482d | fullrandom | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,114 | +$47 +2.2% | 20 |
| 483d |  WongKimArk | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,759 | −$193 −4.1% | — |
| 483d | ChironCrossing | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | +$43 +2.9% | 20 |
| 483d |  buyrightbake4 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $7,836 | −$1,152 −15% | — |
| 485d |  BNBNY | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | −$43 −3.6% | — |
| 487d | lordedward | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,888 | −$122 −4.2% | — |
| 493d |  RaisasAndKathrinsPensionfund | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | +$55 +3.7% | 20 |
| 493d | Z17773 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $19,863 | +$969 +4.9% | 20 |
| 494d | spark1 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,798 | +$153 +5.5% | 20 |
| 495d |  mr.ozi3 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,752 | −$552 −8.2% | — |
| 495d | lordedward | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,842 | +$168 +4.4% | 20 |
| 499d |  Flipadelphia5 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $21,073 | +$2,595 +12% | 20 |
| 500d | nonkenny903 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $16,765 | +$965 +5.8% | 20 |
| 502d | alwaysOn | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$87 +7.5% | 20 |
| 503d | YasH2 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,075 | +$425 +14% | 20 |
| 507d | 0x32d6758638b5c7634b43i5kl0342jwb8n2j676 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$156 −13% | — |
| 507d | jaja5050 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,113 | +$288 +14% | 20 |
| 507d | YasH | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | −$269 −16% | — |
| 508d | 0xTrinity | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,371 | −$532 −9.9% | — |
| 508d |  Naichli | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,059 | −$289 −9.4% | — |
| 508d | Naichli | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$78 +7.5% | 20 |
| 509d |  Minecraft | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$78 +7.5% | 20 |
| 509d |  bizarroworld6 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $22,615 | +$2,165 +9.6% | 20 |
| 511d | CaptainAhab-935 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | −$167 −12% | — |
| 513d |  EternaLEnVy | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,239 | −$261 −12% | — |
| 515d |  betwick | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | −$1,000 −11% | — |
| 515d | bizarroworld3 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $9,157 | −$1,125 −12% | — |
| 516d | 0x32d6758638b5c7634b43i5kl0342jwb8n2j676 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$107 +9.9% | 20 |
| 517d | BlindGibbon9 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $40,876 | +$9,871 +24% | 20 |
| 522d |  Kenny.Powers | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$150 +11% | 20 |
| 522d |  peasant | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellYes11¢ → 0¢ | $2,522 | +$2,522 +100% | — |
| 523d | bc1234 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,117 | +$1,117 +100% | — |
| 524d | FatBoyRay1980 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | −$199 −16% | — |
| 524d | Bink_7 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellYes13¢ → 0¢ | $2,508 | +$2,508 +100% | — |
| 526d | Echelonprt | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | −$342 −22% | — |
| 529d | TheFund2 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $6,355 | +$1,645 +26% | 20 |
| 531d | Bertastan | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$764 +19% | 20 |
| 531d |  MEPP3 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $8,100 | −$2,113 −26% | — |
| 533d |  OverlookHotel | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $2,628 | +$2,628 +100% | — |
| 533d |  FridayNight3 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $9,456 | −$4,252 −45% | — |
| 533d | Generator | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,836 | −$1,836 −100% | 23 |
| 533d | BowlOfPunch | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $5,164 | −$5,164 −100% | 29 |
| 533d |  SagiNahor | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,088 | +$1,088 +100% | — |
| 534d |  BuckMySalls2 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $14,619 | −$3,530 −24% | — |
| 534d |  praesagus | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $15,281 | −$3,354 −22% | — |
| 534d |  Car3 fills | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $6,410 | −$2,207 −34% | — |
GayPride68,731 shares
RememberAmalek11,225 shares
WhiteLivesMatter9,332 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be the US Secretary of Defense for any period of time between March 25 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.