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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Ventura (CH) | 100% | +52 pts | +80 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tim Vieira (IND) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joana Amaral Dias (ADN) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| André Pestana (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Orlando Cruz (IND) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aristides Teixeira (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manuela Magno (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | 0% | −2 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| António José Seguro (IND) | 0% | −27 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vitorino Silva (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ângela Maryah (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| António Filipe (PCP) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Raul Perestrello (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Cardoso (PLS) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jorge Pinto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | 0% | −23 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rui Moreira (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paulo Portas (CDS) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Catarina Martins (BE) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manuel João Vieira | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Humberto Correia | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 271d |  0xdc3E831cad | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | ForFamily | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,765 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 271d | ForFamily | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,650 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 271d |  ggmggn | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,296 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 271d | AZwater | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,639 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 271d | AZwater | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,652 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 271d |  LevonS | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,578 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 271d | Predictandbreathe | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes100¢ | $3,084 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 271d | ggmggn2 fills | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,373 | +$75 +3.2% | 10 |
| 271d | daniel122134 | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,278 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 271d | alex562 | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,849 | +$22 +1.2% | 10 |
| 271d | tutrucks | André Ventura (CH) | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,406 | −$46 −1.9% | — |
| 271d | tutrucks2 fills | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,538 | +$26 +1.0% | 10 |
| 271d | tutrucks2 fills | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,077 | +$528 +6.5% | 10 |
| 271d | Mature-Vehicle | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,269 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 271d | tankkkk | André Ventura (CH) | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$941 +78% | 12 |
| 272d | HongKongMenace | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,061 | +$89 +1.5% | 10 |
| 273d | Snoorrason | Orlando Cruz (IND) | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,289 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 273d | Snoorrason | Tim Vieira (IND) | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,796 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 273d |  scottilicious | Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,862 | +$64 +3.5% | 10 |
| 274d |  MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | −$345 −25% | — |
| 274d | cron | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,571 | −$479 −19% | — |
| 274d | rongbuq | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,045 | −$375 −18% | — |
| 274d | wanu | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,620 | −$481 −18% | — |
| 274d | gaosj | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,434 | −$446 −18% | — |
| 274d | LevonS | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$15 +1.2% | 10 |
| 275d |  gopfan2 | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | +$1,499 +100% | — |
| 275d | wanu | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,412 | +$688 +29% | 10 |
| 275d | rongbuq | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,883 | +$537 +29% | 10 |
| 275d | gaosj | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,241 | +$639 +29% | 10 |
| 275d | cron | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,373 | +$677 +29% | 10 |
| 277d |  sciuboi | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,170 | +$917 +22% | 10 |
| 279d | Informal-Archives | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$127 +7.5% | 10 |
| 279d |  coinrule | Orlando Cruz (IND) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,198 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 279d | coinrule | Orlando Cruz (IND) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 284d | nonkenny90 | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,757 | −$155 −8.8% | — |
| 287d | nonkenny90 | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,726 | +$174 +6.4% | 10 |
| 287d | 0xdc3E831cad | António Filipe (PCP) | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,982 | +$18 +0.1% | 10 |
| 288d | Snoorrason | Paulo Portas (CDS) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,743 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 290d | Snoorrason | Manuela Magno (IND) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$8 +0.8% | 10 |
| 290d | Snoorrason | Ângela Maryah (IND) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,653 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 300d | MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$100 +7.2% | 10 |
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the second-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for André Ventura (CH) means the market gives it about 100%.