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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU | 100% | −16 pts | −18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| AfD | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Grüne | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| SPD | 0% | +15 pts | +19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FDP | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Linke | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FW | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BSW | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Party A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Party O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208d | Hejdejakob | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $2,138 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | CDU | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $26,203 | +$1,836 +7.0% | 10 | |
| 208d | ljmcha | CDU | SellYes>99¢ | $8,261 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | CDU | SellYes>99¢ | $3,914 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 208d | ljmcha | SPD | SellNo>99¢ | $4,294 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | Yalokin | CDU | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,471 | −$201 −1.0% | — |
| 208d | Occasionalbettor2 fills | CDU | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,970 | +$86 +1.7% | 10 |
| 208d | CDU | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,357 | −$62 −1.8% | — | |
| 208d | ljmcha2 fills | SPD | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,237 | +$763 +24% | 10 |
| 208d | sport59782 fills | CDU | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$66 +1.9% | 10 |
| 208d | 0xc2df…17b6 | CDU | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | −$29 −2.7% | — |
| 209d | CDU | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | +$33 +2.2% | 10 | |
| 209d | CDU | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $26,219 | −$3,081 −12% | — | |
| 209d | Matzemichel | CDU | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,008 | −$59 −2.0% | — |
| 209d | SPD | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,925 | +$75 +1.5% | 10 | |
| 209d | CDU | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | +$17 +1.1% | 10 | |
| 209d | jorges - 9129 | CDU | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$41 −4.1% | — |
| 209d | kombuchaaa6 fills | CDU | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $23,748 | +$14,147 +60% | 10 |
| 209d | kombuchaaa2 fills | SPD | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $6,188 | +$4,467 +72% | 10 |
| 209d | kombuchaaa4 fills | SPD | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $5,282 | −$5,282 −100% | 12 |
| 209d | kombuchaaa | CDU | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,214 | −$1,808 −82% | — |
| 209d | influenz.eth14 fills | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,152 | +$75 +0.3% | 10 |
| 209d | influenz.eth7 fills | SPD | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $10,377 | +$6,829 +66% | 15 |
| 209d | kombuchaaa | CDU | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $1,299 | +$1,299 +100% | — |
| 209d | kombuchaaa | CDU | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $3,815 | −$3,815 −100% | 12 |
| 209d | Matzemichel | CDU | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,932 | +$1,135 +59% | 10 |
| 209d | ljmcha2 fills | CDU | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $4,360 | +$2,640 +61% | 10 |
| 209d | Yalokin2 fills | CDU | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $13,000 | +$7,672 +59% | 15 |
| 209d | Snoorrason | CDU | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,202 | −$1,202 −100% | 20 |
| 210d | SPD | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | −$760 −61% | — | |
| 210d | Hejdejakob | AfD | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$16 +0.5% | 10 |
| 210d | PolitPhiloProph2 fills | CDU | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$1,644 +61% | 12 |
| 210d | Asphaleios2 fills | SPD | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $2,701 | +$2,701 +100% | — |
| 211d | SPD | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 15 | |
| 211d | SPD | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $7,320 | +$4,680 +64% | 15 | |
| 211d | SPD | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $3,050 | +$1,950 +64% | 15 | |
| 211d | CDU | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $10,747 | +$7,743 +72% | 10 | |
| 212d | CDU | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$1,600 +67% | 15 | |
| 212d | BTCGambler247 | CDU | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | +$1,349 +69% | 15 |
| 212d | BTCGambler247 | CDU | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | +$1,700 +100% | — |
| 215d | CDU | SellNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | +$1,040 +100% | — | |
| 216d | Asphaleios | CDU | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $1,257 | +$1,257 +100% | — |
| 216d | SPD | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$2,390 +72% | 10 | |
| 217d | dsoperative | CDU | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$860 −75% | — |
| 217d | CDU | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$840 +72% | 10 | |
| 217d | kcnyekchno4 fills | CDU | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $12,241 | −$12,241 −100% | 13 |
| 217d | kcnyekchno2 fills | SPD | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $3,821 | −$3,821 −100% | 12 |
| 218d | CDU | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $6,672 | +$6,128 +92% | 10 | |
| 219d | kombuchaaa | SPD | SellYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,675 | +$1,675 +100% | — |
| 220d | CDU | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $4,773 | +$3,776 +79% | 10 | |
| 221d | Asphaleios | CDU | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 10 |
| 221d | Asphaleios3 fills | SPD | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $6,355 | −$6,355 −100% | 14 |
| 221d | influenz.eth | Grüne | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 221d | rated | Grüne | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 222d | qQWQq | CDU | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | −$646 −64% | — |
| 223d | SPD | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $4,015 | −$4,015 −100% | 14 | |
| 223d | GHFHGJFGH | AfD | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | −$15 −1.2% | — |
| 223d | TTYUIIYRHD | AfD | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 223d | HCBFF | AfD | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 223d | gjkgjyfxjf | AfD | SellNo100¢ | $1,245 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate are scheduled to take place in Rhineland-Palatinate on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for CDU means the market gives it about 100%.