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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 0% | −3 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30 | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 31 | 0% | −7 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | May 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,856 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 138d |  Cloverince | May 31 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,424 | +$7 +0.5% | 20 |
| 138d |  Wunkles | May 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 146d |  cambridgeisaac | May 31 | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | −$266 −24% | — |
| 152d | VivaCristoRey2 fills | May 31 | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $3,391 | +$3,391 +100% | — |
| 156d | Metadong2020 | May 31 | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $4,152 | −$995 −24% | — |
| 164d |  Rex416 | May 31 | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,566 | −$434 −28% | — |
| 165d |  x.o | May 31 | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,788 | +$1,788 +100% | — |
| 165d | x.o | May 31 | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $2,556 | −$2,556 −100% | 24 |
| 166d | bearbees2 | May 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,972 | +$272 +14% | 20 |
| 167d | Metadong2020 | May 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$346 +7.2% | 20 |
| 167d |  yen4u | May 31 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | −$91 −8.3% | — |
| 167d |  Cungly | May 31 | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | −$351 −22% | — |
| 167d |  aenews2 | May 31 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $3,332 | +$1,226 +37% | 20 |
| 167d | pkz | May 31 | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | −$757 −42% | — |
| 167d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | May 31 | BuyNo24¢ → 100¢ | $5,023 | +$16,020 +319% | 28 |
| 167d | 0x4773…2289 | May 31 | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $2,958 | +$2,958 +100% | — |
| 167d | yen4u | May 31 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$609 +52% | 20 |
| 167d | ScottyNooo2 fills | May 31 | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $5,694 | −$5,694 −100% | 20 |
| 167d | Pessimistic-Temptress | May 31 | SellYes74¢ → 0¢ | $2,204 | +$2,204 +100% | — |
| 167d | 0x4773…22892 fills | May 31 | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $6,461 | −$6,461 −100% | 20 |
| 167d | shijie3002 | May 31 | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $1,046 | −$1,046 −100% | 20 |
| 167d | Paganum117 | May 31 | BuyYes94¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 20 |
| 168d |  tetrase | May 31 | BuyYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,245 | −$1,245 −100% | 20 |
| 168d | Rex416 | May 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 0¢ | $1,921 | −$1,921 −100% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for May 31 means the market gives it about 0%.