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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Herdegen | 100% | +59 pts | +77 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Georgia Tree | 0% | −59 pts | −76 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryan Robertson | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49d |  JJo | Georgia Tree | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,881 | +$32 +0.2% | 10 |
| 49d | JJo | Ryan Robertson | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,973 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 49d | SnowLover7 | Luke Herdegen | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,718 | +$131 +7.6% | 12 |
| 49d | Rowdy-Evening-Universe2 fills | Luke Herdegen | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $7,605 | +$1,395 +18% | 14 |
| 49d | Addarash | Luke Herdegen | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,111 | +$111 +5.3% | 11 |
| 49d |  Humble-Monk | Georgia Tree | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,955 | −$1,955 −100% | 15 |
| 49d |  Jellow2 | Luke Herdegen | SellNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,714 | +$1,714 +100% | — |
| 49d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Luke Herdegen | SellNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,336 | +$1,336 +100% | — |
| 50d | flawfence | Georgia Tree | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | −$1,085 −100% | 15 |
| 50d | KiernanMeister | Luke Herdegen | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $2,964 | +$7,647 +258% | 20 |
| 51d | flawfence | Luke Herdegen | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 15 |
| 74d |  Hot-SkullHomelessBegger | Georgia Tree | BuyNo31¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$2,395 +226% | 10 |
Humble-Monk8,510 shares
BiDiFakePolls2,205 shares
AMAM13409 sharesA by-election for the Western Australia state legislative constituency of Secret Harbour is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by the Western Australian Electoral Commission (https://www.elections.wa.gov.au/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Luke Herdegen means the market gives it about 100%.