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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 950 - 960m | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <940m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 15d |
| 940 - 950m | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 15d |
| 960 - 970m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 15d |
| 970m+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 15d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | PiMaak | 950 - 960m | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,047 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 18d |  Mataty12 fills | 940 - 950m | SellNo54¢ → 100¢ | $2,404 | −$2,071 −86% | — |
| 19d |  The-Joker5 fills | 950 - 960m | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $19,093 | +$1,570 +8.2% | 4 |
| 20d | Novatan | 950 - 960m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,577 | +$30 +0.5% | 4 |
| 23d | Legacy.crypto | 950 - 960m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,533 | +$26 +1.0% | 4 |
| 23d | fanat122 fills | 950 - 960m | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,608 | −$749 −29% | — |
| 23d | Mataty18 fills | 950 - 960m | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $13,205 | +$5,644 +43% | 4 |
| 24d | donthackme | 940 - 950m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 25d | GvLBV | 950 - 960m | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,941 | −$59 −2.0% | — |
| 25d |  Jellow2 | 950 - 960m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,678 | +$55 +3.2% | 4 |
| 27d | Flueme | 970m+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,085 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 28d |  stormshadow | 970m+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,457 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 28d | GvLBV | 950 - 960m | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$774 +60% | 4 |
| 28d | fanat12 | 950 - 960m | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,883 | +$3,117 +166% | 5 |
| 28d | PiMaak3 fills | 940 - 950m | BuyYes64¢ → 0¢ | $4,517 | −$4,517 −100% | 4 |
| 29d |  cat-dog | 940 - 950m | SellYes62¢ → 0¢ | $2,174 | +$2,174 +100% | — |
| 30d | fanat12 | 940 - 950m | SellYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,049 | +$1,049 +100% | — |
| 31d | shovelingdigging | <940m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,739 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 31d | Mataty1 | 940 - 950m | BuyNo34¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$2,851 +194% | 5 |
| 32d | shovelingdigging2 fills | 940 - 950m | BuyYes37¢ → 0¢ | $2,315 | −$2,315 −100% | 6 |
| 33d |  New.Jeans3 fills | 950 - 960m | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $5,981 | +$5,972 +100% | 4 |
| 34d | Lastworld133 fills | 940 - 950m | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $4,588 | −$4,588 −100% | 5 |
| 35d | The-Joker | 940 - 950m | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 5 |
| 36d | cat-dog | 960 - 970m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,438 | +$62 +1.4% | 4 |
| 36d | cat-dog2 fills | 970m+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,900 | +$100 +1.1% | 4 |
| 36d | Flueme | 970m+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 36d | Mataty1 | <940m | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,603 | −$39 −0.6% | — |
| 37d |  GUHHH | 940 - 950m | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | −$550 −41% | — |
| 38d | GUHHH | 940 - 950m | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$279 +23% | 4 |
| 39d |  FFIE. | 940 - 950m | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,088 | −$1,088 −100% | 4 |
| 39d | fanat12 | 960 - 970m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$44 +3.3% | 4 |
| 40d | Orioncast | 940 - 950m | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,474 | −$1,474 −100% | 4 |
| 41d | stormshadow2 fills | 970m+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,299 | +$23 +1.0% | 4 |
| 41d | Mataty16 fills | <940m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,245 | +$367 +4.0% | 4 |
| 41d | PiMaak | 950 - 960m | SellNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,032 | +$1,032 +100% | — |
| 42d | PiMaak | <940m | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$73 +6.4% | 4 |
| 44d | Novatan | 940 - 950m | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $1,082 | −$1,082 −100% | 4 |
| 44d | rago | <940m | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,634 | +$273 +17% | 4 |
| 44d | New.Jeans2 fills | 940 - 950m | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $8,305 | −$8,305 −100% | 4 |
| 45d | Novatan | <940m | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,151 | −$462 −21% | — |
| 46d | Novatan | <940m | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | +$442 +21% | 4 |
| 46d | Orioncast | 950 - 960m | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | +$4,403 +235% | 6 |
| 46d | New.Jeans | <940m | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$250 +22% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 950 - 960m means the market gives it about 100%.