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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $6,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,300 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,700 | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $8,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,900 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,850 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,700 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $7,100 | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,500 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,300 | 100% | +16 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,150 | 100% | +19 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,450 | 100% | +19 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,050 | 100% | +15 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $7,600 | 100% | +18 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,500 | 100% | −10 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,700 | 100% | −1 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $6,600 | 100% | +1 pts | −7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108d | Musk5 | ↓ $6,900 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,962 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 108d | suyizi | ↑ $7,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,786 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 109d |  olegs | ↑ $8,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,033 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 110d | olegs | ↑ $7,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,748 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 110d | bean125 | ↓ $6,900 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,306 | +$24 +0.6% | 4 |
| 110d | bean125 | ↓ $6,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,076 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 110d | bean125 | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,409 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 110d | bean125 | ↑ $7,850 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,075 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 112d | Musk5 | ↓ $6,900 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | +$16 +0.9% | 4 |
| 112d | olegs | ↑ $7,850 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 112d | olegs | ↓ $6,900 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,687 | +$38 +1.0% | 4 |
| 115d | Indelible-Roast | ↓ $6,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,022 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 116d | Indelible-Roast2 fills | ↓ $6,300 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,885 | −$28 −1.0% | — |
| 116d | cryptoincome | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$17 +0.5% | 4 |
| 116d | Indelible-Roast | ↓ $6,500 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 117d | Musk5 | ↓ $6,700 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 118d | olegs | ↓ $6,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 121d | Musk5 | ↑ $7,850 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | −$35 −2.2% | — |
| 122d | cryptoincome | ↓ $6,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$12 +1.2% | 4 |
| 123d | Avamax2 fills | ↓ $6,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,236 | +$43 +1.3% | 4 |
| 124d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ $6,900 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$50 +5.0% | 4 |
| 124d |  Bobothebear | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$13 +1.1% | 4 |
| 124d | olegs | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$21 +1.6% | 4 |
| 128d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ $6,700 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$185 +9.2% | 4 |
| 129d | ourdemocracy2 | ↓ $6,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,779 | −$73 −1.9% | — |
| 131d | Musk5 | ↓ $6,300 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | −$59 −5.2% | — |
| 132d | sdhyky | ↓ $7,100 | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$1,312 +67% | 4 |
| 133d | Crowded-Farming | ↓ $6,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,958 | −$42 −2.1% | — |
| 133d | newguy666 | ↓ $6,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | −$25 −2.1% | — |
| 133d | ourdemocracy | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$26 +2.1% | 4 |
| 133d | ourdemocracy | ↓ $6,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,656 | +$46 +1.7% | 4 |
| 134d | upasna | ↓ $6,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$18 +1.6% | 4 |
| 137d | starmine777 | ↓ $6,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$15 +1.4% | 4 |
| 137d |  CoinTrick | ↑ $7,600 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | +$43 +3.4% | 4 |
| 142d | cryptoincome | ↑ $8,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$56 +5.5% | 4 |
| 148d | yeametisgood2 fills | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,586 | +$909 +16% | 4 |
| 149d | Musk5 | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$260 +15% | 4 |
| 149d | hsefhsjdkfs2 fills | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,775 | +$621 +16% | 4 |
| 152d | Substantial-Service | ↓ $6,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $18,176 | +$1,798 +9.9% | 4 |
| 152d | G1MAIN2 fills | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $7,495 | +$1,162 +16% | 4 |
| 152d |  marsresting | ↓ $6,300 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $16,062 | +$3,059 +19% | 4 |
| 152d | orderfill | ↓ $6,000 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | −$121 −11% | — |
| 156d | CoinTrick | ↑ $7,450 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 156d | Private-Pantologist | ↑ $7,450 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 164d | CoinTrick | ↑ $7,300 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,999 | +$51 +0.6% | 4 |
| 164d | Filthy-Shallot | ↑ $7,300 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 4 |
| 175d | MomentumB | ↑ $7,150 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,017 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Private-Pantologist | ↑ $7,150 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$25 +2.5% | 4 |
| 209d | rgsh81 | ↑ $7,050 | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,307 | −$1,307 −100% | 4 |
| 222d | CoinTrick | ↓ $6,700 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,408 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 222d | Unselfish-Dress | ↓ $6,700 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$21 +1.7% | 4 |
KOMZY4,568 sharesWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ $6,000 means the market gives it about 0%.