| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 88 | 17¢ → 97¢ | $85 | +$70 +463% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 121 | 51¢ → 65¢ | $78 | +$16 +26% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 64 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $58 | +$8 +16% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 63 | 48¢ → 63¢ | $39 | +$9 +30% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 52 | 60¢ → 71¢ | $36 | +$5 +18% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 167 | 30¢ → 14¢ | $24 | −$26 −53% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 22 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $22 | +$2 +12% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 47 | 42¢ → 47¢ | $22 | +$2 +11% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$2 +8.7% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 71¢ → 97¢ | $20 | +$5 +37% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 18 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $18 | +$2 +9.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 18 | 60¢ → 95¢ | $17 | +$6 +56% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$6 +64% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 81¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$2 +23% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 16 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $12 | +$2 +17% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Ends in 440d | Yes | 14 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.1% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.8% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 114 | 17¢ → 9¢ | $10 | −$10 −49% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 26 | 46¢ → 37¢ | $10 | −$2 −20% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 74d | No | 6 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $6 | +$0 +5.3% |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Ends in 75d | No | 6 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $6 | +$1 +25% |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 6 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $6 | +$1 +10% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 556 | 28¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$152 −97% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Ends in 74d | No | 6 | 92¢ → 68¢ | $4 | −$2 −27% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 3 | 73¢ → 95¢ | $3 | +$1 +31% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 28¢ | $2 | +$1 +134% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 3 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $2 | +$0 +13% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 406 | 19¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$75 −97% |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4 | 69¢ → 31¢ | $1 | −$2 −55% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 1 | 70¢ → 93¢ | $1 | +$0 +33% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | No | 1 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | Yes | 11 | 88¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$9 −89% |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.2% |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.0% |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.8% |
| OpenAI acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 1 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 33 | 46¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$14 −94% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7 | 69¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$4 −83% |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11 | 89¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$9 −93% |
| SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3 | 34¢ → 17¢ | $0 | −$1 −51% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | Yes | 11 | 88¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$10 −96% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$1 −67% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 3 | 31¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$1 −77% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −79% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −82% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −90% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3 | 33¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −92% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | Yes | 3 | 65¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$2 −97% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 49¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −96% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 16 | 63¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 59¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $175?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 3% on any day in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 192 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,160 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$228 −100% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 58 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Netflix reach $105 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 66 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Allbirds (BIRD) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,039 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$778 −100% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 585 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$310 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Google be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 830 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 197 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
