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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60+ days | 100% | +1 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 14+ days | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 10+ days | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 5+ days | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 7+ days | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 48+ days | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 3+ days | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90+ days | 0% | −34 pts | −66 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 52+ days | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70+ days | 100% | +2 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80+ days | 0% | −56 pts | −78 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 44+ days | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110+ days | 0% | −16 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120+ days | 0% | −9 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100+ days | 0% | −31 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30+ days | 100% | +6 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 21+ days | 100% | +3 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 40+ days | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 80+ days | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,521 | +$33 +1.3% | 4 |
| 176d | FlyingPlaty | 70+ days | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,413 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 180d |  DirkDiggler67 | 70+ days | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$59 +4.4% | 4 |
| 184d | DirkDiggler67 | 90+ days | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,966 | −$1,966 −100% | 4 |
| 184d | DirkDiggler67 | 80+ days | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,355 | −$1,355 −100% | 4 |
| 186d | FlyingPlaty | 60+ days | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,718 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 189d |  LeopoldArschenbrenner2 fills | 60+ days | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,057 | +$296 +4.9% | 4 |
| 191d | NullHyper | 60+ days | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$151 +7.5% | 4 |
| 193d | JouninKoneMassit | 60+ days | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | −$286 −16% | — |
| 195d | JouninKoneMassit | 60+ days | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,718 | +$388 +23% | 4 |
| 196d |  ComingBack | 60+ days | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$226 +19% | 4 |
| 197d | wegotthemic | 60+ days | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | +$486 +32% | 4 |
| 198d | DirkDiggler67 | 60+ days | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $3,114 | +$1,950 +63% | 4 |
| 198d | NullHyper | 52+ days | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | +$87 +5.7% | 4 |
| 198d | JoseB1442 fills | 52+ days | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,677 | +$234 +6.4% | 4 |
| 198d |  redlioneye | 60+ days | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,965 +196% | 4 |
| 198d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | 48+ days | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,998 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 198d | choohkz23 | 60+ days | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,008 | −$1,008 −100% | 4 |
| 198d | spamabunch | 60+ days | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,136 | −$2,136 −100% | 4 |
| 199d | choohkz23 | 60+ days | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | −$274 −18% | — |
| 200d | ComingBack | 52+ days | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$42 +4.2% | 4 |
| 201d | LeopoldArschenbrenner | 48+ days | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,391 | +$48 +2.0% | 4 |
| 201d |  LiquidatedDegen | 48+ days | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,283 | −$132 −3.1% | — |
| 202d | FlyingPlaty | 44+ days | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,256 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 204d | choohkz23 | 48+ days | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,698 | −$1,698 −100% | 4 |
| 204d | brdnx2 fills | 60+ days | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $3,628 | +$3,628 +100% | — |
| 204d |  WarriorPooh | 52+ days | SellNo56¢ → 0¢ | $1,293 | +$1,293 +100% | — |
| 204d | WarriorPooh | 60+ days | SellNo69¢ → 0¢ | $2,383 | +$2,383 +100% | — |
| 207d | WarriorPooh | 48+ days | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,337 | −$1,337 −100% | 4 |
| 207d | WarriorPooh | 60+ days | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 4 |
| 208d | NullHyper | 90+ days | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$187 +17% | 4 |
| 212d | brdnx | 60+ days | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 4 |
| 212d |  tetrose2 fills | 60+ days | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $3,442 | +$4,158 +121% | 7 |
| 216d | TexMexTRex | 30+ days | SellYes>99¢ | $6,089 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 218d |  qjrPM1 | 30+ days | SellYes>99¢ | $2,145 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 218d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 30+ days | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 219d | FlyingPlaty | 30+ days | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$20 +1.8% | 4 |
| 221d | offroadtms | 60+ days | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$1,322 +124% | 6 |
| 222d | qjrPM1 | 30+ days | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$45 +2.3% | 4 |
| 222d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan | 60+ days | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $2,183 | +$2,183 +100% | — |
| 225d | eNakeVets2 fills | 30+ days | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,875 | +$653 +23% | 4 |
| 225d | FlyingPlaty4 fills | 21+ days | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,009 | +$93 +0.3% | 4 |
| 225d |  scottilicious | 30+ days | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,856 | −$344 −12% | — |
| 226d | scottilicious | 30+ days | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,819 | +$381 +14% | 4 |
| 227d | ComingBack | 21+ days | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$19 +1.7% | 4 |
| 227d | TexMexTRex | 30+ days | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,116 +28% | 4 |
| 227d | ManCangGangGanDaDanGan3 fills | 60+ days | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $4,163 | −$4,163 −100% | 4 |
| 228d | eNakeVets2 fills | 21+ days | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,791 | +$355 +6.1% | 4 |
| 229d |  k7X9mP2qW42 fills | 21+ days | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,538 | +$363 +14% | 4 |
| 230d |  cambridgeisaac2 fills | 21+ days | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,586 | −$162 −6.3% | — |
| 231d | yyzzrebirth | 30+ days | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | −$517 −37% | — |
| 231d | yyzzrebirth | 30+ days | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$319 +27% | 4 |
| 232d | FlyingPlaty | 14+ days | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,787 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 233d | Suburban-PassbookNew account | 14+ days | SellYes>99¢ | $1,944 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 233d | Suburban-PassbookNew account | 14+ days | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,943 | +$57 +0.2% | 4 |
| 233d | United-SimpleNew account | 14+ days | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,348 | +$52 +0.2% | 4 |
| 233d | wangkdasini20 fills | 14+ days | BuyYes>99¢ | $51,328 | +$121 +0.2% | 4 |
| 233d | ak47dawangke20 fills | 14+ days | BuyYes>99¢ | $51,333 | +$120 +0.2% | 4 |
| 234d | BTCFudder | 21+ days | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,223 | −$255 −11% | — |
| 236d | Starry-Flanker | 14+ days | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,870 | −$130 −2.7% | — |
ChetterHummin2,257 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 60+ days means the market gives it about 100%.