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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <5.8m | 100% | 0 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 5.8-6m | 0% | — | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6-6.2m | 0% | — | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >6.2m | 0% | 0 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421d |  pup1 | >6.2m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 422d |  gopfan2 | <5.8m | SellYes>99¢ | $10,000 | −$35 −0.3% | — |
| 422d | gopfan2 | >6.2m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,816 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 425d | gopfan22 fills | <5.8m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,544 | +$60 +2.3% | 10 |
| 425d |  maxtkz | <5.8m | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | −$138 −11% | — |
| 425d | mirand | <5.8m | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | +$61 +4.3% | 10 |
| 426d | gopfan22 fills | >6.2m | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $4,426 | +$1,043 +24% | 11 |
GayPride1,603 sharesBolivia's general elections are scheduled for August 17, 2025, with a runoff on 19 October if no candidate wins outright by securing over 50% of valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. This market will resolve based on the total number of valid votes (votos válidos) cast in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/). If these results are contested or otherwise unreleased, this market will remain open until the official voting results are confirmed and publicly released by the Plurinational Electoral Body.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <5.8m means the market gives it about 100%.