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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America | 100% | +97 pts | +98 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Europe | 0% | −65 pts | −62 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Africa | 0% | −11 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Asia | 0% | −20 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South America | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oceania | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No New Pope in 2025 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 526d | yannini | Africa | SellNo>99¢ | $4,876 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | philipthestrategist | North America | SellYes>99¢ | $4,296 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | nav | Africa | SellNo>99¢ | $2,913 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 526d |  Flipadelphia | North America | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,713 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | Predictandbreathe | Europe | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | lyle0516 | Asia | SellNo>99¢ | $3,028 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | 11122 | North America | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d |  Babylons.eu | North America | SellYes>99¢ | $1,016 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | Jacobo222 | North America | SellYes>99¢ | $1,962 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | 0xmogged | Africa | SellNo>99¢ | $2,391 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 526d | pirulino | North America | SellYes>99¢ | $1,013 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 526d | Martinoshi | North America | SellYes>99¢ | $1,029 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 526d |  Brokie | Africa | BuyNo>99¢ | $53,546 | +$54 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | werni2 fills | Africa | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,911 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 526d |  HNIC | South America | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,093 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Oceania | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d | werni | North America | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,635 | +$39 +1.1% | 4 |
| 526d | werni | Oceania | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,079 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 526d | werni | South America | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,934 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 526d |  GollumGekko | No New Pope in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,158 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 526d |  🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Africa | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | +$128 +6.5% | 4 |
| 526d |  debased | No New Pope in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,625 | +$32 +0.1% | 4 |
| 527d | EscalateFund | North America | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $3,101 | −$3,101 −100% | 4 |
| 527d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Africa | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 5 |
| 527d | affs20791 | Africa | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,519 | +$420 +9.3% | 4 |
| 527d |  Vladooos | Africa | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $20,444 | +$2,361 +12% | 4 |
| 527d |  ondra123 | Africa | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$189 +13% | 4 |
| 527d |  hegtw | Africa | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,230 | +$270 +12% | 4 |
| 527d | Blankj | Africa | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,907 | +$231 +12% | 4 |
| 527d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Europe | BuyNo35¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | +$2,988 +186% | 5 |
| 528d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥2 fills | Oceania | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,214 | +$9 +0.4% | 4 |
| 528d | lyle0516 | Asia | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,478 | +$553 +22% | 4 |
| 528d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | North America | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,217 | −$1,217 −100% | 4 |
| 528d |  DoneWithIt | North America | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,306 | −$1,306 −100% | 4 |
| 528d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | South America | BuyNo100¢ | $1,198 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 528d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | No New Pope in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,203 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 528d |  Cajetan | No New Pope in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 528d | Cajetan | Africa | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,798 | +$202 +11% | 4 |
| 528d | Cajetan | North America | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,978 | −$1,978 −100% | 4 |
| 528d | Cajetan | Asia | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | +$405 +25% | 4 |
| 528d | Cajetan | South America | BuyNo100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 528d | Cajetan | Oceania | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 528d | iQuitPolimarket3 fills | Europe | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $4,562 | −$4,562 −100% | 4 |
| 528d | TAWFinn | Europe | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 4 |
| 529d | cigarettes | No New Pope in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 529d | wokerjoesleeper | Oceania | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,484 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 529d | cigarettes | Oceania | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,195 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 529d | wokerjoesleeper | No New Pope in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,488 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 529d | cigarettes | North America | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,159 | −$1,159 −100% | 4 |
| 529d | wokerjoesleeper | Asia | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$253 +20% | 4 |
| 529d | cigarettes | South America | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$11 +0.9% | 4 |
| 529d | randomGuy2580 | Africa | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$136 +13% | 4 |
| 530d |  UMAisawesome | No New Pope in 2025 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,393 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 530d |  CoffeeLover | No New Pope in 2025 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,880 | −$24 −0.3% | — |
| 530d | yannini | Africa | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$380 +8.5% | 4 |
| 530d | CoffeeLover6 fills | No New Pope in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,958 | +$28 +0.2% | 4 |
| 531d | EscalateFund | Africa | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | +$228 +15% | 4 |
| 531d | raybaebae | Asia | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$410 +20% | 4 |
| 531d | raybaebae | Africa | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$341 +17% | 4 |
| 532d | UMAisawesome | No New Pope in 2025 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,393 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the continent from which the next person announced as the bishop of Rome after Pope Francis is from. The continent where the next Pope was born will be used to determine which continent they are from. If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new Pope in 2025". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for North America means the market gives it about 100%.