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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isfahan nuclear facility | 100% | 0 pts | +82 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Nuclear | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Fordow nuclear facility | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Natanz nucelar facility | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Oil/Gas | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196d |  ErnstKuzorra | Isfahan nuclear facility | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 196d |  OraculumNobius | Isfahan nuclear facility | SellYes>99¢ | $19,036 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 196d | cripes3 | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,914 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 196d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b043 fills | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,458 | +$50 +0.2% | 4 |
| 196d |  aenews25 fills | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,572 | +$204 +0.9% | 4 |
| 196d | FDVnothanks | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,573 | +$8 +0.5% | 4 |
| 196d |  HorribleWork2 fills | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,737 | +$80 +2.1% | 4 |
| 197d | ComeToTheCloser | Isfahan nuclear facility | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 197d |  DistortedReality | Isfahan nuclear facility | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | −$19 −1.3% | — |
| 197d |  DiamondHands11 | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,186 | +$117 +5.3% | 4 |
| 197d | denizz | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$183 +13% | 4 |
| 197d | denizz | Isfahan nuclear facility | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $3,479 | −$2,087 −60% | — |
| 197d | aenews2 | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $2,612 | −$2,612 −100% | 6 |
| 197d | denizz | Isfahan nuclear facility | SellNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,931 | +$1,931 +100% | — |
| 197d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $4,747 | +$4,450 +94% | 4 |
| 198d | denizz | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $7,109 | −$7,109 −100% | 4 |
| 198d |  sburrone | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,239 | −$1,239 −100% | 4 |
| 198d |  MajidJavadi2 fills | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $4,730 | −$4,730 −100% | 4 |
| 198d |  ImJustKen | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $1,212 | −$1,212 −100% | 4 |
| 199d | IbnKhaldun3 fills | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $6,186 | −$6,186 −100% | 4 |
| 199d | qwe258 | Fordow nuclear facility | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,140 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 199d | OraculumNobius2 fills | Fordow nuclear facility | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,712 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 199d | Shiny-Mark2 fills | Fordow nuclear facility | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,330 | +$570 +17% | 4 |
| 199d |  faisiech | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$932 +47% | 4 |
| 208d | jiyge | Fordow nuclear facility | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$183 +12% | 4 |
| 217d | westminster2 fills | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,710 | +$338 +4.4% | 4 |
| 223d |  llzl9d9ujfurhuer32 fills | Oil/Gas | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,751 | +$21 +0.5% | 4 |
| 223d | Bitz67 | Oil/Gas | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$13 +0.9% | 4 |
| 223d | cashy2 fills | Oil/Gas | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,682 | +$793 +30% | 4 |
| 223d |  Car2 fills | Oil/Gas | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,548 | +$1,156 +45% | 4 |
| 227d |  AcctToBeRetired | Natanz nucelar facility | SellYes>99¢ | $7,655 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | AcctToBeRetired | Natanz nucelar facility | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,648 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 227d |  DOJ | Natanz nucelar facility | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,703 | +$14 +0.5% | 4 |
| 227d |  bamesjond2 fills | Natanz nucelar facility | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,254 | +$22 +0.7% | 4 |
| 227d | 0x20fe…f411 | Nuclear | SellYes>99¢ | $4,364 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 227d | llzl9d9ujfurhuer3 | Nuclear | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,132 | +$31 +0.6% | 4 |
| 227d |  TylerTurden | Natanz nucelar facility | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | −$28 −2.2% | — |
| 228d | TylerTurden2 fills | Natanz nucelar facility | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,105 | +$115 +2.8% | 4 |
| 228d |  ScienceDog | Nuclear | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 228d | Car | Nuclear | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | −$26 −1.9% | — |
| 228d | Car | Nuclear | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,397 | +$31 +1.3% | 4 |
| 228d | Car | Natanz nucelar facility | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$22 +2.0% | 4 |
| 228d | cashy | Nuclear | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,594 | +$38 +0.8% | 4 |
| 228d | cashy | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$26 +1.9% | 4 |
| 229d |  GoodDogGoodDog | Nuclear | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,357 | −$131 −5.6% | — |
| 229d | Huludubu2 fills | Nuclear | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,917 | +$83 +2.1% | 4 |
| 229d | Huludubu | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$112 +7.7% | 4 |
| 229d | randomlypunting | Natanz nucelar facility | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$15 +1.3% | 4 |
| 229d | randomlypunting | Nuclear | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$37 +1.8% | 4 |
| 229d | GoodDogGoodDog | Nuclear | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,411 | +$77 +3.2% | 4 |
| 229d | immanuelcan | Oil/Gas | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | +$1,558 +105% | 4 |
| 230d |  MontKiara | Isfahan nuclear facility | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $2,258 | −$2,258 −100% | 4 |
| 230d | 0x20fe…f411 | Nuclear | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,229 | +$139 +3.3% | 4 |
| 230d |  Quantintel | Nuclear | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,768 | +$516 +19% | 4 |
| 230d | dravey | Nuclear | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,102 | −$1,102 −100% | 5 |
2385892084820197492992733940100004747737721,260 sharesRules
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Isfahan nuclear facility means the market gives it about 100%.