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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICE | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aristotle | 0% | −1 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CME | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| LedgerX | 100% | +20 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Railbird | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ForecastEx | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| CBOE | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Clearing Company | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Small Exchange | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156d |  Mine-Carrying-Dolphin | LedgerX | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,652 | +$503 +11% | 4 |
| 184d |  PMTraderAdam2 fills | CME | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,216 | +$168 +4.0% | 4 |
| 190d |  0xdc3E831cad2 fills | ICE | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,984 | −$227 −4.5% | — |
| 198d | 0xdc3E831cad | LedgerX | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,008 | −$1,008 −100% | 4 |
| 198d | 0xdc3E831cad | ICE | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $7,353 | +$1,817 +25% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ICE means the market gives it about 0%.