Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pam Bondi | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| None before 2027 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| J.D. Vance | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Marco Rubio | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Scott Bessent | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Pete Hegseth | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Doug Burgum | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Brooke Rollins | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Howard Lutnick | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Scott Turner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Sean Duffy | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Chris Wright | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Linda McMahon | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Doug Collins | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Lee Zeldin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Susie Wiles | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Russell T. Vought | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| John Ratcliffe | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Jamieson Greer | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Mike Waltz | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Kelly Loeffler | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | in 74d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 197d | AnonymousPerson | Pam Bondi | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,100 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 197d | FlyingPlaty | None before 2027 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,135 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 197d |  0x039478r87r8yr3f7hd3 fills | Pam Bondi | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,919 | +$199 +2.5% | 4 |
| 197d | 0x903221b12 fills | Pam Bondi | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,966 | +$34 +0.4% | 4 |
| 197d |  AgricultureSecretary | Pam Bondi | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,996 | +$50 +1.2% | 4 |
| 197d |  XueqinJiang2 fills | Pam Bondi | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,984 | +$373 +4.7% | 4 |
| 197d | tinman2 | Pam Bondi | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$106 +4.3% | 4 |
| 197d | tinman2 | None before 2027 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,957 | +$30 +1.5% | 4 |
| 197d |  Newsance | Pam Bondi | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,884 | +$126 +4.4% | 4 |
| 197d | BTCGOOSE | None before 2027 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$143 +2.9% | 4 |
| 197d | BTCGOOSE | Pam Bondi | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$166 +8.3% | 4 |
| 197d |  DirkDiggler67 | Pam Bondi | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,723 | +$1,248 +34% | 4 |
| 197d |  Zachattack500 | Pam Bondi | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,623 | +$417 +26% | 4 |
| 201d | arrange-town-maid | Pete Hegseth | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | −$116 −9.6% | — |
| 201d | solar-awkward | Pete Hegseth | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$109 −9.6% | — |
| 201d | arrange-town-maid | Pete Hegseth | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$101 +10% | 4 |
| 201d | belowOyster | Pete Hegseth | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | −$121 −10% | — |
| 201d | Upon-Tooth-Maid | Pete Hegseth | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$121 −11% | — |
| 201d | expose-large | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | −$98 −7.6% | — |
| 201d | equal6781 | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$97 −7.5% | — |
| 201d | tenant-village | None before 2027 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$82 +7.5% | 4 |
| 201d | equal6781 | None before 2027 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$97 +7.5% | 4 |
| 201d | aspect-choose | Pete Hegseth | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$122 −11% | — |
| 201d | junkZero | Pete Hegseth | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | −$149 −11% | — |
| 201d | floor-together-file | Pete Hegseth | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$131 −12% | — |
| 201d | plate-critic | Pete Hegseth | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | −$118 −12% | — |
| 201d | floor-together-file | Pete Hegseth | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$131 +11% | 4 |
| 201d | plate-critic | Pete Hegseth | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$118 +11% | 4 |
| 201d | street-equip-ethics | Pete Hegseth | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | −$144 −12% | — |
| 201d | kit-whale | Pete Hegseth | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | −$118 −11% | — |
| 201d | summerdv92 | Pete Hegseth | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | −$116 −11% | — |
| 201d | Statelab2 fills | Pete Hegseth | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,252 | −$215 −9.5% | — |
| 201d | describeBag | Pete Hegseth | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | −$138 −12% | — |
| 201d | Infant-Cargo-Angry | Pete Hegseth | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | −$118 −10% | — |
| 201d | tentJoin | Pete Hegseth | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | −$114 −10% | — |
| 201d | jaguar8689 | Pete Hegseth | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$106 +10% | 4 |
| 201d | light962 | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | −$95 −7.9% | — |
| 201d | plate-sketch | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | −$98 −7.9% | — |
| 201d | damage9232 fills | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,345 | −$181 −7.7% | — |
| 201d | vintagecj39 | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | −$97 −7.9% | — |
| 201d | labor-dignity-apart | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | −$82 −7.9% | — |
| 201d | option-sausage | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | −$85 −7.9% | — |
| 201d | matrix-shaft-observe | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | −$95 −8.0% | — |
| 201d | matrix-shaft-observe | None before 2027 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$100 +8.5% | 4 |
| 201d | reflectMore | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | −$94 −7.9% | — |
| 201d | trapUrge | None before 2027 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$89 +7.9% | 4 |
| 201d | citizenju44 | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | −$95 −7.9% | — |
| 201d | gospel49 | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | −$81 −7.5% | — |
| 201d | boss5995 | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | −$88 −7.5% | — |
| 201d | mixtureCome | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | −$78 −7.5% | — |
| 201d | summerdv92 | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$81 −7.5% | — |
| 201d | dishSlight | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | −$97 −7.5% | — |
| 201d | solar-awkward | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | −$90 −7.5% | — |
| 202d | music-property | None before 2027 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | −$88 −7.5% | — |
| 202d | exclude-predict | None before 2027 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$84 +7.8% | 4 |
| 202d | Statelab | Pete Hegseth | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$94 +8.2% | 4 |
| 202d | Actress-Insane | Pete Hegseth | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | −$91 −7.9% | — |
| 202d | tenantMaple | Pete Hegseth | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | −$80 −7.9% | — |
| 202d | Sunwi36 | Pete Hegseth | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,228 | −$97 −7.9% | — |
| 202d | grassku46 | Pete Hegseth | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | −$89 −7.9% | — |
rousseauuu5,081 shares
AllByMyseIf4,254 sharesThis market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Pam Bondi means the market gives it about 100%.