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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130+ | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100+ | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80+ | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 150+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180+ | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | Djibooty | 130+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,092 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | Djibooty | 120+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,420 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | FreeWillyR | 100+ | SellYes>99¢ | $2,899 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 234d |  charliegooseman | 80+ | SellYes>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | tigercager | 130+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,718 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | tigercager | 130+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,742 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 234d |  Chims2 fills | 130+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$94 +2.0% | 4 |
| 234d |  HST7 | 130+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,454 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 234d |  ocpna | 130+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 234d | StudentMoney | 110+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | +$31 +2.0% | 4 |
| 234d | Basheeee | 110+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,138 | +$166 +2.0% | 4 |
| 234d |  mombil | 150+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,843 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 234d |  Dropper | 130+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,890 | +$59 +1.0% | 4 |
| 234d | mombil | 130+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 4 |
| 234d |  Car | 110+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,979 | +$35 +1.2% | 4 |
| 234d |  AishahSofey2 fills | 110+ | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,030 | +$862 +28% | 4 |
| 234d | pkz | 100+ | SellYes>99¢ | $2,552 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | SaylorMoon | 110+ | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,971 | −$1,971 −100% | 4 |
| 234d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly3 fills | 180+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,884 | +$175 +0.8% | 4 |
| 234d |  qjrPM1 | 100+ | SellYes>99¢ | $8,397 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 234d | Basheeee | 130+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 234d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 110+ | SellYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,198 | +$1,198 +100% | — |
| 234d | Basheeee2 fills | 180+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,990 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 234d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | 150+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,768 | +$28 +1.0% | 4 |
| 234d | moonsol2 fills | 110+ | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $6,400 | −$6,400 −100% | 4 |
| 234d | Djibooty | 110+ | BuyNo39¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | +$1,831 +157% | 4 |
| 234d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | 180+ | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,783 | +$38 +1.0% | 4 |
| 234d | HST7 | 130+ | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,238 | +$227 +10% | 4 |
| 234d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | 100+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,787 | +$118 +0.5% | 4 |
| 234d | Inexperienced-Diary | 100+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 234d | Bink_7 | 110+ | BuyNo28¢ → 100¢ | $4,038 | +$10,425 +258% | 10 |
| 234d | pkz | 100+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,653 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 234d | yoyo753 | 100+ | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | −$17 −1.5% | — |
| 234d | Bink_7 | 120+ | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $3,270 | +$2,199 +67% | 4 |
| 234d | Bink_72 fills | 130+ | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $3,664 | +$3,664 +100% | — |
| 234d |  Shovelface | 110+ | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,049 | −$1,049 −100% | 4 |
| 234d | Dropper2 fills | 110+ | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $6,487 | −$6,487 −100% | 4 |
| 234d | BABELCONSTEL | 110+ | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $2,900 | −$2,900 −100% | 4 |
| 234d | qjrPM13 fills | 100+ | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,993 | +$413 +5.2% | 4 |
| 234d |  ImJustKen | 130+ | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $6,785 | +$2,324 +34% | 4 |
| 234d | Dropper | 110+ | BuyNo30¢ → 100¢ | $5,829 | +$13,677 +235% | 11 |
| 234d |  choppah | 110+ | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,051 | −$1,051 −100% | 4 |
| 234d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | 80+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,992 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 234d |  SupremeLeader12 | 100+ | BuyNo9¢ → 0¢ | $1,043 | −$1,043 −100% | 4 |
| 234d | Inexperienced-Diary2 fills | 80+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,488 | +$12 +0.4% | 4 |
| 234d | seizethedayy | 100+ | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | +$74 +5.9% | 4 |
| 234d | BTCGOOSE | 100+ | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | +$101 +7.7% | 4 |
| 234d |  pmtosat- | 80+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,887 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 234d | Chims3 fills | 80+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,411 | +$61 +0.9% | 4 |
| 234d | BABELCONSTEL | 100+ | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$961 +16% | 4 |
| 234d |  BeneGesseritVoice | 130+ | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | −$452 −40% | — |
| 234d | BeneGesseritVoice | 130+ | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$445 +39% | 4 |
| 234d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly3 fills | 130+ | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $32,604 | −$10,422 −32% | — |
| 234d | TaxIsTheft | 130+ | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$501 +33% | 4 |
| 234d | MasonFree | 80+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$39 +2.7% | 4 |
| 234d |  YangYuxiang | 180+ | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$16 +1.5% | 4 |
| 234d |  lfgcrypto121 | 120+ | SellNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,844 | −$1,656 −90% | — |
| 234d |  fdg | 130+ | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | −$581 −53% | — |
| 234d | peepeepooppoop | 110+ | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,160 | −$1,160 −100% | 4 |
| 234d |  TwoEyes | 100+ | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,674 | +$1,092 +41% | 4 |
Avarice312,504 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address is equal to in length or longer than the specified number of minutes. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 130+ means the market gives it about 0%.