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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia | 100% | +12 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Algeria | 0% | −1 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cape Verde | 0% | −1 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Congo DR | 0% | −7 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Egypt | 0% | −3 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ghana | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ivory Coast | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Morocco | 0% | −1 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Senegal | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| South Africa | 0% | −11 pts | −48 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111d | Congo DR | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,250 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 111d | Tunisia | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,047 | +$12 +0.4% | 4 | |
| 113d | Cape Verde | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$16 +1.4% | 4 |
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF (Africa) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tunisia means the market gives it about 100%.