| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $478 | −$3 −0.5% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $475 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $473 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $461 | −$8 −1.7% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $443 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 594 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $386 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 79¢ → 75¢ | $373 | −$23 −5.7% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 584 | 43¢ → 48¢ | $277 | +$29 +12% |
| Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 239 | 78¢ → 98¢ | $234 | +$48 +26% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $218 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 218 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $207 | +$11 +5.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 255 | 77¢ → 74¢ | $188 | −$8 −4.2% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 202 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $176 | +$11 +6.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $174 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 218 | 45¢ → 78¢ | $169 | +$70 +71% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Yamal | 300 | 45¢ → 45¢ | $135 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 222 | 48¢ → 58¢ | $129 | +$22 +20% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 124 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $113 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 219 | 60¢ → 51¢ | $111 | −$20 −15% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $105 | −$9 −8.0% |
| Will Axis Robotics launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 87 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $87 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 103 | 72¢ → 82¢ | $84 | +$9 +13% |
| Will Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 85 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $80 | +$7 +8.8% |
| Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 110 | 74¢ → 70¢ | $77 | −$4 −5.4% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 116 | 62¢ → 65¢ | $75 | +$3 +4.5% |
| Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?Ends in 14d | No | 80 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $73 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $65 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 64 | 73¢ → 98¢ | $63 | +$16 +34% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 205 | 51¢ → 27¢ | $55 | −$50 −48% |
| Beezie FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 110 | 27¢ → 49¢ | $54 | +$24 +81% |
| Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 18d | Yes | 262 | 43¢ → 18¢ | $47 | −$65 −58% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 116 | 41¢ → 40¢ | $46 | −$2 −3.3% |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 71 | 57¢ → 65¢ | $46 | +$6 +15% |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $43 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 255 | 6¢ → 16¢ | $41 | +$27 +195% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 50 | 71¢ → 83¢ | $41 | +$6 +16% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 6, 11:59 PM?Ends in 20d | Yes | 41 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $39 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 202 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $35 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 50 | 60¢ → 67¢ | $34 | +$4 +12% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $31 | +$8 +36% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 220 | 21¢ → 14¢ | $30 | −$17 −36% |
| Will Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $28 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 175 | 13¢ → 16¢ | $27 | +$5 +23% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $3T?Ends in 440d | No | 28 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $27 | +$4 +19% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 70 | 41¢ → 35¢ | $24 | −$4 −15% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $23 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 40 | 65¢ → 54¢ | $22 | −$4 −17% |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 307 | 39¢ → 7¢ | $20 | −$100 −83% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 38¢ → 33¢ | $20 | −$3 −15% |
| Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 50 | 43¢ → 38¢ | $19 | −$3 −13% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $16 | +$2 +11% |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?Ends in 8h | No | 22 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $16 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 18d | Yes | 185 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $16 | −$14 −47% |
| Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 27¢ → 16¢ | $16 | −$12 −43% |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 20 | 61¢ → 76¢ | $15 | +$3 +25% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 20 | 55¢ → 75¢ | $15 | +$4 +37% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $13 | −$3 −22% |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 43¢ → 62¢ | $12 | +$4 +44% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 20 | 38¢ → 61¢ | $12 | +$5 +59% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 30 | 44¢ → 40¢ | $12 | −$1 −11% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 112 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $11 | +$2 +24% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 45 | 60¢ → 23¢ | $10 | −$17 −63% |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | Yes | 50 | 45¢ → 20¢ | $10 | −$12 −55% |
| Will "The Birthday Gift" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 35 | 24¢ → 27¢ | $9 | +$1 +8.2% |
| Will Sam Matiase be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 18d | Yes | 53 | 1¢ → 17¢ | $9 | +$9 +1346% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 70 | 50¢ → 11¢ | $7 | −$28 −79% |
| Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 9 | 72¢ → 79¢ | $7 | +$1 +9.6% |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 180 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $7 | +$2 +59% |
| Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 10 | 70¢ → 65¢ | $7 | −$0 −6.5% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?Ends in 19d | No | 52 | 6¢ → 12¢ | $6 | +$3 +94% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 80 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $6 | −$4 −38% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 21 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $4 | +$0 +7.6% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 43 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $4 | −$1 −25% |
| Rahul Gandhi arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $3 | +$0 +5.6% |
| Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 9 | 35¢ → 33¢ | $3 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will Stephanie Cameron win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 9 | 48¢ → 32¢ | $3 | −$1 −33% |
| Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 33 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $3 | −$1 −16% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 68 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $2 | +$1 +67% |
| Will Canza launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 9 | 48¢ → 26¢ | $2 | −$2 −46% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 6¢ → 14¢ | $2 | +$1 +139% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?Ends in 256d | No | 2 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 2 | 86¢ → 80¢ | $2 | −$0 −7.4% |
| Will Axis Robotics launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 115 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $2 | +$1 +113% |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 64¢ → 73¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Brett Whiteley win the next Latrobe mayoral election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2 | 72¢ → 68¢ | $1 | −$0 −5.7% |
| Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 1 | 45¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$1 +116% |
| Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 62¢ → 70¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 28 | 50¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$13 −92% |
| Will "Agapito" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$0 −6.2% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 33¢ → 15¢ | $1 | −$1 −54% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 31 | 26¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$7 −91% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 256d | No | 63 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$0 +70% |
| Will "Saba" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 2 | 18¢ → 22¢ | $0 | +$0 +21% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Ends in 8h | Yes | 57 | 29¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$16 −98% |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$1 −82% |
| Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 5 | 60¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$3 −96% |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2 | 59¢ → 4¢ | $0 | −$1 −93% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −14% |
| Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
