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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 29-30 | 100% | +67 pts | +91 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Before April 1 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 1-4 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 5-8 | 0% | 0 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 9-12 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 13-16 | 0% | −1 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 17-20 | 0% | — | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arpil 21-24 | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 25-28 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| After April 30 | 0% | −65 pts | −85 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d | d-flow | April 29-30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,763 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 169d |  bernardbulletin | After April 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$57 +4.0% | 4 |
| 169d | HornyBibi | April 29-30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$58 +3.8% | 4 |
| 169d |  tetrose | April 29-30 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,938 | −$221 −7.5% | — |
| 169d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | April 29-30 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | +$117 +5.4% | 4 |
| 169d | Blind Chicken | After April 30 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$59 −5.8% | — |
| 169d | Blind Chicken2 fills | April 29-30 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $5,444 | −$1,845 −34% | — |
| 169d | spamabunch2 fills | April 29-30 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | +$313 +11% | 4 |
| 170d | leothefire19872 fills | After April 30 | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $6,332 | −$6,332 −100% | 4 |
| 170d | spamabunch6 fills | After April 30 | SellYes61¢ → 0¢ | $10,024 | +$10,024 +100% | — |
| 171d | ev17102 fills | April 29-30 | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $4,990 | −$4,990 −100% | 6 |
| 171d | predictooooooooor | April 29-30 | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 7 |
| 171d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | April 25-28 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,753 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 171d |  ImJustKen | April 25-28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,032 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 172d | spamabunch5 fills | After April 30 | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $13,830 | −$13,830 −100% | 4 |
| 172d | TheHeathen07 | After April 30 | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $2,250 | −$2,250 −100% | 6 |
| 173d | FlyingPlaty | April 25-28 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,580 | +$154 +1.6% | 4 |
| 175d | Nobody230412 fills | April 29-30 | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $2,367 | −$2,367 −100% | 5 |
| 175d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | Arpil 21-24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,669 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 180d |  DirkDiggler673 fills | After April 30 | BuyNo43¢ → 100¢ | $10,948 | +$14,437 +132% | 7 |
| 181d | DirkDiggler67 | After April 30 | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,354 | −$1,354 −100% | 4 |
| 181d |  thegamblor69 | April 17-20 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,794 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 181d | thegamblor69 | April 17-20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,800 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 182d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | April 17-20 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,891 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 183d |  TheAugur | April 17-20 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,505 | +$24 +1.0% | 4 |
| 183d | FlyingPlaty4 fills | April 13-16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,529 | +$37 +0.2% | 4 |
| 187d |  oraclewar | April 13-16 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | −$179 −15% | — |
| 188d | oraclewar | After April 30 | SellYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,714 | +$1,714 +100% | — |
| 189d |  LeopoldArschenbrenner | April 9-12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,805 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 191d | FlyingPlaty | April 5-8 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,287 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 193d | DirkDiggler67 | After April 30 | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | −$1,038 −48% | — |
| 195d | lorry3122 | April 5-8 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,253 | −$46 −2.0% | — |
| 195d | hellopearlhouse | April 1-4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,411 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 196d | Alive-Gumshoe | April 1-4 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,953 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 197d |  LiquidatedDegen | After April 30 | SellNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | −$799 −71% | — |
| 198d | Alive-Gumshoe | April 1-4 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$96 +8.8% | 4 |
| 198d | lorry3122 | April 5-8 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,672 | +$1,020 +61% | 4 |
| 198d | lorry3122 | April 1-4 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | +$269 +14% | 4 |
| 198d | ImJustKen | After April 30 | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,941 | −$1,941 −100% | 5 |
| 198d | Academic-Crust | April 5-8 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,018 | +$51 +1.0% | 4 |
| 198d | Spry-Maintenance | April 5-8 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,997 | +$50 +1.0% | 4 |
| 198d | Sugary-Dickey | April 5-8 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,033 | +$51 +1.0% | 4 |
| 199d | LiquidatedDegen | After April 30 | SellYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,146 | +$1,146 +100% | — |
| 199d | 881112 | After April 30 | SellNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | −$861 −72% | — |
| 199d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | Before April 1 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,655 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 201d | 881112 | After April 30 | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $4,196 | +$5,372 +128% | 6 |
| 201d | faith3529 | Arpil 21-24 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | −$132 −12% | — |
| 201d | visual249 | Arpil 21-24 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$120 −12% | — |
| 201d | noblevk94 | Arpil 21-24 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$157 +14% | 4 |
| 201d | Tragic-Stem | April 17-20 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | −$84 −7.1% | — |
| 201d | improve.forward.vessel | April 17-20 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$75 −7.1% | — |
| 202d | crouchgv65 | April 17-20 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$74 −7.1% | — |
| 202d | Lionnothing | April 17-20 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | −$76 −7.1% | — |
| 202d | crouchgv65 | April 17-20 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$74 +7.1% | 4 |
| 202d | Lionnothing | April 17-20 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$76 +7.1% | 4 |
| 202d | toddler-teach | April 17-20 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | −$76 −7.1% | — |
| 202d | bean-fitness | April 17-20 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | −$83 −7.1% | — |
| 202d | Latinsize | April 17-20 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$74 +7.1% | 4 |
| 202d | matrix-shaft-observe | April 17-20 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | −$92 −8.0% | — |
| 202d | emotionWhale | April 17-20 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | −$92 −8.0% | — |
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for April 29-30 means the market gives it about 100%.