Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-10% | 100% | +2 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <0 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-20% | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-30% | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30%+ | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318d |  tourists2 fills | 0-10% | SellYes>99¢ | $13,408 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 318d | ntdh1 | 0-10% | SellYes>99¢ | $9,785 | −$22 −0.2% | — |
| 318d | tourists3 fills | 0-10% | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $16,148 | +$1,527 +9.5% | 4 |
| 318d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | 0-10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $415,684 | +$416 +0.1% | 4 |
| 318d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | 0-10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,147 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 318d | qwe258 | 0-10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,294 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 318d | pantomime | 0-10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,200 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 318d | Lean-Pelt | 0-10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 318d |  ScottyNooo4 fills | 0-10% | BuyYes>99¢ | $52,187 | +$206 +0.4% | 4 |
| 319d | anciano | 0-10% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 319d | hollyber | 0-10% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | +$22 +1.8% | 4 |
| 319d | Masculine-Raspberry | <0 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,992 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 319d |  tunatyler | 0-10% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,885 | −$115 −3.0% | — |
| 320d | Masculine-Raspberry3 fills | 20-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $5,974 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 320d | f2hf84hg52h5 | 0-10% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $29,358 | +$599 +2.0% | 4 |
| 321d | Yorkshire123 | 10-20% | BuyYes4¢ → 0¢ | $1,030 | −$1,030 −100% | 4 |
| 322d | BigDataEnergy2 fills | 0-10% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,994 | +$193 +2.1% | 4 |
| 324d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | 0-10% | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $28,836 | −$1,164 −4.0% | — |
| 325d |  hulinali | 0-10% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,398 | −$225 −3.5% | — |
| 325d | jdqmja815pi5n | 10-20% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,512 | +$46 +1.8% | 4 |
| 325d | fuejb21fie1ze | 10-20% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,514 | +$46 +1.8% | 4 |
| 325d | jkoqlvi0sdqt0 | 10-20% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | +$46 +1.8% | 4 |
| 325d | ffdmde11pkcdy | 10-20% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,506 | +$54 +2.1% | 4 |
| 325d | metpezvicq2iz0 | 10-20% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,501 | +$54 +2.1% | 4 |
| 325d | lwwhgxjqn1fd2 | 10-20% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,496 | +$54 +2.1% | 4 |
| 326d | youngbaba3 fills | 0-10% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,272 | −$145 −1.4% | — |
| 326d | hulinali | 0-10% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,674 | +$149 +2.2% | 4 |
| 328d | VvVv | 20-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,694 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | 854A78433 fills | 20-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $9,586 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 331d | 11122 | 30%+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,801 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 331d | 854A7843 | 10-20% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | +$57 +3.0% | 4 |
| 332d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 30%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,388 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 332d | ballboy953 fills | 0-10% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,937 | +$170 +1.9% | 4 |
| 333d | ToyodaMan | 0-10% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,894 | +$100 +2.0% | 4 |
| 333d |  1lI | 0-10% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,602 | +$53 +2.0% | 4 |
| 333d |  ciro2 | 0-10% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,944 | +$54 +1.8% | 4 |
| 333d | 854A78432 fills | 30%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,874 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 333d |  DeverNoom | 20-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,018 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 334d |  Kiddosss2 fills | 0-10% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,044 | +$138 +2.3% | 4 |
| 334d | Lukyyyyyyy2 fills | 0-10% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,794 | −$80 −2.9% | — |
| 334d | Jplc | 30%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,706 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 334d | Folletin | 20-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 335d | Koolio | 0-10% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,516 | −$345 −3.3% | — |
| 335d | saltwa | 30%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,544 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 335d | pitchin | 30%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,623 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 335d | 900LK | 10-20% | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,834 | −$91 −2.4% | — |
| 335d | meating | 30%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,188 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 335d | meating | 20-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,201 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 335d |  Schizoaffective.On.Acid19 fills | 0-10% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $385,531 | +$2,060 +0.5% | 4 |
| 335d | oldEggs | 20-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,397 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 335d | Idontwantausername | 0-10% | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $8,081 | −$276 −3.4% | — |
| 336d | 900LK | 10-20% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,707 | +$76 +2.0% | 4 |
| 336d | makelove | 20-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,679 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 336d | panason | 20-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,881 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 336d | gorke | 20-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 336d | Baoke | 30%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $3,656 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 336d | Kiddosss | 30%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 337d | standagain | 20-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,792 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 337d | influenz.eth11 fills | 10-20% | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $23,458 | +$1,431 +6.1% | 4 |
| 337d | Hahaha12 | 0-10% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | +$41 +2.0% | 4 |
horatio2,783 sharesThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City mayoral general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Mamdani’s certified vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Zohran Mamdani does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 0-10% means the market gives it about 100%.