| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 2,500 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $2,211 | −$69 −3.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $845 | +$25 +3.0% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 515 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $502 | +$11 +2.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 500 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $458 | +$3 +0.5% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | No | 523 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $379 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $374 | +$48 +15% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $326 | +$20 +6.5% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 325 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $322 | +$4 +1.2% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 87¢ → 73¢ | $290 | −$60 −17% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $284 | +$23 +8.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $276 | +$42 +18% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 500 | 43¢ → 46¢ | $232 | +$18 +8.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 300 | 31¢ → 77¢ | $230 | +$138 +150% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 600 | 40¢ → 38¢ | $225 | −$17 −7.1% |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 350 | 58¢ → 64¢ | $224 | +$22 +11% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 253 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $196 | −$6 −2.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $175 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | Yes | 300 | 65¢ → 58¢ | $174 | −$22 −11% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 76¢ → 87¢ | $173 | +$21 +14% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | Yes | 223 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $158 | −$8 −4.7% |
| Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 153 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $150 | +$24 +19% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 210 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $148 | +$12 +8.7% |
| Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,194 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $135 | +$38 +40% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 700 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $123 | −$25 −17% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,200 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $114 | −$18 −14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 300 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $113 | +$4 +3.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 400 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $110 | −$20 −15% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 700 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $102 | −$4 −3.3% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 402 | 21¢ → 25¢ | $98 | +$12 +15% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $98 | −$4 −3.9% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $97 | −$1 −0.8% |
| 2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?Ends in 182d | Zemmour | 106 | 72¢ → 82¢ | $86 | +$10 +13% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 10,000 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $85 | −$61 −42% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 468 | 11¢ → 17¢ | $80 | +$28 +55% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 75d | Yes | 90 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $71 | +$4 +5.3% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,000 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $69 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 600 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $69 | −$33 −32% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 100 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $61 | −$2 −2.4% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $36 | −$36 −50% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 300 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $30 | −$6 −17% |
| Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 282 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $30 | −$7 −18% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | No | 600 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $22 | −$48 −69% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 231 | 22¢ → 9¢ | $20 | −$31 −62% |
| Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 22¢ | $14 | +$4 +43% |
| Trump meets with Putin by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 15 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $14 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 15 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $14 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $12 | +$9 +259% |
| Will Chuck Norris rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 53¢ | $11 | +$3 +43% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 300 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$6 −51% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 100 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $5 | −$11 −68% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by a cactus?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 169 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Spread: England (-2.5)Settled - ready to redeem | England | 80 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$77 −100% |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Germany | 38 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 559 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$189 −100% |
| Will it rain in Chicago, IL on August 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 10 and 29 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 81 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will SpaceX say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during earnings call?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Kai or Speed have more in-game deaths?Settled - ready to redeem | Kai | 100 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Indiana lions in custody by August 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Brazil | 69 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 336 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 155 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos TsitsipasSettled - ready to redeem | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 42 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| SCOTUS upholds trans sports bans?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 51 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 25 minutes long?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$141 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$48 −100% |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Japan | 10 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 450 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a pillager?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Did a propellant leak cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will Elon post "Deport" or "Deported" on X this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
