sorca

Polymarket wallet 0x0451575fe2978764a2cb097f3e97f7d483ce73fd · on Polymarket since Jan 9, 2026 · also shown as Relieved-Craftsman

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$249
Volume traded: $11.4K
All-time rank: #2,842,784
Markets traded: 29
Recent hit rate: 52%14 of last 27 closed

Open positions

3 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	322	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem	No	270	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	945	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
241d	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	BuyYes63¢	$230
243d	Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BuyYes31¢	$100
243d	Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BuyNo37¢	$100
243d	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	BuyYes56¢	$100
245d	Government shutdown on Saturday?	SellNo98¢	$68
245d	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?	BuyYes88¢	$406
247d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?	BuyDown1¢	$2
247d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?	BuyDown4¢	$20
247d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?	BuyDown7¢	$20
247d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?	BuyDown11¢	$20
248d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?	SellDown54¢	$276
248d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?	BuyDown29¢	$50
248d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?	BuyDown29¢	$10
248d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?	BuyDown30¢	$20
248d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?	BuyDown29¢	$20
248d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?	BuyDown60¢	$100
248d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?	BuyDown2¢	$2
248d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?	BuyDown31¢	$20
249d	Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BuyYes2¢	$20
249d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?	SellDown53¢	$38
249d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?	SellDown43¢	$36
249d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?	BuyDown24¢	$20
249d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?	BuyDown28¢	$20
249d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?	SellDown46¢	$55
249d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?	BuyDown39¢	$20
249d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?	BuyDown29¢	$20
249d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?	SellUp43¢	$15
249d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?	BuyDown59¢	$40
249d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?	BuyUp57¢	$20
250d	Government shutdown on Saturday?	BuyNo29¢	$20
257d	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?	BuyYes52¢	$235
257d	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?	SellYes>99¢	$235
260d	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?	BuyYes85¢	$199
260d	U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	SellYes90¢	$52
260d	U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	SellYes90¢	$84
260d	U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	SellYes90¢	$28
261d	U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?	BuyYes62¢	$113
262d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?	BuyUp50¢	$50
262d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyNo25¢	$20
262d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?	SellUp>99¢	$218
262d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28?	BuyUp91¢	$199
263d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 27?	BuyDown12¢	$20
263d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?	SellUp>99¢	$219
263d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?	BuyUp83¢	$61
263d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?	SellNo36¢	$55
263d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?	BuyUp83¢	$63
263d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?	SellNo37¢	$69
263d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?	BuyUp77¢	$53
264d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyNo20¢	$20
264d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?	BuyNo69¢	$50
264d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?	BuyNo59¢	$50
264d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?	BuyNo63¢	$50
264d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?	BuyNo50¢	$50
266d	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?	BuyYes87¢	$205
266d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?	SellNo97¢	$205
267d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?	BuyNo72¢	$152
267d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?	SellUp4¢	$5
267d	Will Israel strike Gaza on January 22, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$30
267d	Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?	SellNo99¢	$118
267d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?	BuyUp83¢	$100

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 27 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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