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Polymarket wallet 0x15ca8827925f630b11d595cc07f3057d434d1dc3 · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 51¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$2 +96% |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.8% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 241d | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BuyYes51¢ | $2 |
| 266d | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes62¢ | $1 |
| 278d | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 278d | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? | BuyNo95¢ | $2 |
| 278d | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BuyNo29¢ | $1 |
| 278d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes31¢ | $1 |
| 279d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyYes16¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.